The present invention relates to the technical field of power
distribution networks. Disclosed are a disaster prevention early warning and production decision support method and
system for a power distribution network. According to the present invention, multiple types of data from a
data center can be integrated, and classification, analysis and
feature extraction are performed on multi-
source data of a power distribution network, and then without the need to install additional meteorological environment monitoring devices, by means of calculating a maximum wind load, a
lightning trip-out rate, a maximum current
carrying capacity at a highest allowable
operating temperature, and an average failure frequency and an average failure time which consider environmental factors, a power outage risk of the power distribution network is evaluated, and risk grading is performed. After an emergency occurs, by means of analyzing a
power grid topology structure after device shutdown, a device shutdown probability can be further calculated, and a load power
outage probability and the power outage risk can be obtained. According to the present invention, pre-disaster early warning, in-
disaster monitoring, and post-disaster emergency repair auxiliary decision-making for the power distribution network under disasters such as typhoons,
thunder and
lightning, floods and
icing are implemented, providing data and service support for safety production, planning and management, and commanding and decision-making of the power distribution network.