Macro-forecast system and method thereof for future development of regional economy

A technology for predicting systems and regions, applied in the field of macroeconomics, can solve problems such as insufficient research on economic system models, less discussion on the impact mechanism of sustainable development, and insufficient research on crossover and integration

Inactive Publication Date: 2016-10-12
SHANGHAI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE AND ECONOMICS
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Problems solved by technology

[0008] (2) Insufficient research on interdisciplinary and multi-method crossover and integration
[0010] (3) Insufficient research on the sustainable development mechanism of the economic system model
[0011] At present, there is such a deficiency in the process of using macro-forecasting methods to study the sustainable development of ecological and economic ...

Method used

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  • Macro-forecast system and method thereof for future development of regional economy
  • Macro-forecast system and method thereof for future development of regional economy
  • Macro-forecast system and method thereof for future development of regional economy

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Embodiment Construction

[0128] A kind of regional economic future development macro-forecasting system and its method provided by the present invention are further described below. The content of this description should not be interpreted as a limitation of the present invention. Without departing from the spirit and essence of the present invention, the method, Modifications and substitutions made to steps or conditions all belong to the scope of the present invention.

[0129] (1) Forecast of industrial added value:

[0130] 1) Determine the model:

[0131] G Y Z J = β 0 + Σ n β n x n + Σ i Σ j > i β i x i ...

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Abstract

The present invention discloses a macro forecasting system and method for the future development of the regional economy, comprising the following steps: obtaining the microeconomic data of the regional development in different historical stages and different time frequencies related to the regional economic development; Economic data, combined with the macroeconomic development indicators of the corresponding time period, combined with the macro function of future development, constructs a macro forecast model for the future development of the region; The type of macro forecast is analyzed, and the important information hidden between the macro forecast and future development is further excavated, and the interaction mechanism and causal relationship between the system macro forecast and future economic development are revealed; the macro forecast method and sustainable development Combined, the sustainable development curve is constructed, and the time variation of the system's sustainable development level and the cause mechanism of economic growth are analyzed.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the field of macroeconomics, and in particular relates to a macroscopic prediction system and method for the future development of regional economy. Background technique [0002] Different regions have large differences in both their economic structure and economic development level. Therefore, regional macroeconomic forecasting models are quite different from national macroeconomic forecasting models in terms of modeling principles and application of econometric methods. The basic theory of modeling used in the forecast period should also be different. The mutual influence relationship and degree of influence among different regional economic variables should be able to truly reflect the historical dynamic characteristics of the region's economy. Although the establishment of all macroeconomic forecasting models is based on economic theory and economic operation mechanism, due to the large uncertainty in the economic operatio...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04
CPCG06Q10/04
Inventor 梁骁马捷梁峙
Owner SHANGHAI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE AND ECONOMICS
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