The application provides a kind of
urbanization threshold determination method based on multi-objective optimization under water resource constraint, which determines water intensity under different efficiency scenarios through panel
quantile regression, reduces the subjective setting degree of
water demand parameters, and improves the accuracy of
water demand parameter identification under different efficiency states.In addition, urban
population, added value of the secondary industry and added value of the
tertiary industry are taken as decision variables, and a multi-objective optimization function is constructed under the constraints of water resource rigidity, urban development boundary and variable boundary, realizing the collaborative solution of the relationship between
urbanization scale expansion and water resource constraint.The scheme determines the
urbanization threshold range based on the multi-objective optimal solution set, combined with ideal point distance identification, inflection point identification and marginal cost jump
verification, which can more truly reflect the multi-objective trade-off relationship between non-agricultural comprehensive output, water resource pressure and
regional development imbalance, and improve the stability and planning applicability of threshold identification.