Total energy demand and structure predicting system

A prediction system and energy technology, applied in the energy field, can solve problems such as neglect and achieve good accuracy

Inactive Publication Date: 2018-05-08
国家电网有限公司西南分部 +1
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Problems solved by technology

The above patents only predict the total energy demand, while ignoring the impact of the rapid development of renewable energy on the future energy demand structure

Method used

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Embodiment Construction

[0063] The present invention will be described in detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and specific embodiments. This embodiment is carried out on the premise of the technical solution of the present invention, and detailed implementation and specific operation process are given, but the protection scope of the present invention is not limited to the following embodiments.

[0064] Such as figure 1 As shown, the present invention provides a system for forecasting the total amount of energy demand and its structure, including a database module 1, an input module 2, an analysis and prediction module 3 and an output module 4, wherein the database module 1 is used to store energy-related historical data, and the Energy includes coal, oil, natural gas and other renewable energy sources; the input module 2 is used to call the energy-related historical data from the database module, and extract historical energy forecast indicators; the analysis and forecast mod...

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Abstract

The invention relates to a total energy demand and structure predicting system comprising a database module, an input module, an analysis prediction module, and an output module. The database module is used for storing relevant historical data of energy sources including coal, oil, natural gas and other renewable energy sources. The input module is used for invoking the relevant historical data ofenergy sources from the database module and extracting a historical energy prediction index. The analysis prediction module is used for predicting the total energy demand based on a gray prediction model, an energy Kuznets curve, and a multiple regression mathematical model according to the energy prediction index and predicting an energy demand structure based on a Markov chain. And the output module is used for outputting prediction results of the total energy demand and the energy demand structure. Compared with the prior art, the predicting system has advantages of high accuracy and adaptability.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of energy technology, in particular to a total energy demand and structure prediction system. Background technique [0002] Energy is an important support for modern economic development, the material basis for the survival and development of human society, and is related to the national economy, people's livelihood and national strategic competitiveness. With the rapid development of the economy and the improvement of people's living standards, the demand for energy is increasing, especially the demand for secondary energy power has maintained a high-speed growth state. The energy system is a complex system with multiple stakeholders. The forecast of its total demand and its structural change trend is an important basis for new energy planning and decision-making, and has important guiding significance for the sustainable development of the economy under the new normal. [0003] Existing literature on energy demand ...

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/06G06N7/00
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/06G06N7/01
Inventor 周全路亮柳璐程浩忠江栗蔡绍荣沙宇恒游川洪绍云田书欣
Owner 国家电网有限公司西南分部
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