Electric power carbon emission trajectory analysis method and device

Abstract

The invention provides an electric power carbon emission trajectory analysis method and device, and relates to the technical field of electric power system carbon emission analysis, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining technical factors, economic factors and environmental factors affecting carbon emission, and carrying out the construction of a carbon emission system kinetic model based on the technical factors, the economic factors and the environmental factors; constructing a carbon emission model of an energy power supply side, a carbon emission model of a power transmission and distribution system and a carbon emission model of a power utilization side based on the kinetic model; and acquiring electric energy emission data, and based on the carbon emission model of the electric power supply side, the carbon emission model of the power transmission system and the carbon emission model of the power utilization side, acquiring the carbon emission of the electric power production side, the carbon emission of the electric power consumption side, the carbon emission of the electric power transmission and distribution system and the carbon emission trajectory analysis of the economic-electric power system by using a trajectory tracking algorithm. According to the invention, accurate statistics, monitoring and examination can be carried out on carbon emission indexes, a target influencing enterprise carbon emission reduction decomposition is analyzed, and a carbon emission index system is constructed.

Description

technical field [0001] The present invention relates to the technical field of carbon analysis, in particular to an electric power carbon emission trajectory analysis device. Background technique [0002] The power industry is not only an important industry for carbon emission reduction, but also a major player in the carbon market. There are various types of carbon emission energy sources in the urban power system, complex consumption channels, and unclear carbon emission reduction targets for power generation and electricity companies, so that it is difficult for cities to achieve accurate and credible carbon emission index statistics, monitoring and assessment. On the basis of consolidating the carbon emission monitoring, reporting and verification system of the power system, it is also necessary to explore the simulation and deduction technology for the evolution of carbon emissions in the power system. [0003] On the basis of improving the quality of carbon emission d...

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Problems solved by technology

[0003] On the basis of improving the quality of carbon emission data, deduction and analysis of the evolution of power system carbon emission levels in different scenarios in the future will not only help power companies to accurately measure and deduce their own carbon emission levels, scientifically formulate production operations and asset management strategies, It is also conducive to the setting of total allowances and the design of allowance adjustment mechanisms in the national carbon market. However, there are complex interactive relationships between different state variables and control variables in the carbon market and the electricity market. Different mechanism parameters (such as total allowances, allocation methods, trading Mechanism, promotion of renewable energy, etc.) and a large number of internal and external disturbances (economic situation, weather conditions, etc.), will generate complex interactive dynamics through the game behavior of multiple market players, increasing the technical difficulty of power system carbon emission situation deduction

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