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Method for judging and processing wind farm power prediction input data

A technology for input data and power prediction, applied in the field of power system, can solve problems such as missing data, sample set validity, prediction accuracy impact, noise pollution, etc.

Active Publication Date: 2012-06-13
CHINA ELECTRIC POWER RES INST +1
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Problems solved by technology

Due to the failure of the fan wind measuring instrument, normal or abnormal shutdown of the fan, communication failure, channel noise, etc., the following three types of problems often occur in historical power data: 1) missing data; 2) distorted data; 3) noise pollution
Therefore, the accuracy of the historical data of wind farms in the sample set is directly related to the accuracy of wind power forecasting, and the missing data and distorted data in the historical data will have unpredictable effects on the validity of the sample set and the accuracy of prediction
At present, there is no in-depth research on the preprocessing of wind farm historical data in China, and there is no processing method for this type of data

Method used

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  • Method for judging and processing wind farm power prediction input data
  • Method for judging and processing wind farm power prediction input data

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Embodiment Construction

[0021] Hereinafter, the implementation of the technical solution of the present invention will be further described in detail based on the drawings of the specification and the specific embodiments.

[0022] Such as figure 1 Shown is a flow chart of the preprocessing of historical wind power prediction data. The method includes the following steps:

[0023] (1) The substation connected to the wind power site measures the power of the wind farm, collects the wind speed value of the wind farm while measuring the power of the wind farm, and establishes the wind speed-power database table according to the collected wind speed and the corresponding power value. This column

[0024] (2) Calculate the change rate of the wind farm power value collected at each moment relative to the wind farm power value collected at the previous moment, and use it as the wind farm power sampling value change rate at that moment, namely ΔP wind, h =P wind, h -P wind, h-1 , Where ΔP wind, h Is the power cha...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a method for judging and processing wind farm power prediction input data. The wind farm power prediction input data is historical data of the wind farm, and contains normal data, damaged data and distorted data, wherein the damaged data and the distorted data has harmful effect on the reliability of a sample set of training data of a wind farm power prediction mode, and further influences the precision of the wind power prediction. The invention provides a preprocessing method for wind farm historical data, in the method, the normal data and the bad data in the data are distinguished, and the damaged data or the bad data in the data is increased or changed, so that the reliability of the sample set of the training data of the prediction model is enhanced, and the accuracy of wind farm power prediction is improved.

Description

Technical field [0001] This application belongs to the technical field of power systems, and specifically relates to a method for judging and processing wind farm power prediction input data Background technique [0002] When forecasting wind power, there are two types of data that directly affect the accuracy of the forecast. One is meteorological data, and the other is historical power data. The former is directly obtained from the Meteorological Bureau, and relevant processing is not performed here. We focus on the prediction of historical power data. deal with. Due to wind turbine wind measurement equipment failure, normal or abnormal shutdown of wind turbine, communication failure, channel noise, etc., historical power data often has the following three types of problems: 1) missing data; 2) distorted data; 3) noise pollution. [0003] The historical data of a wind farm includes measured data (including wind speed, wind direction, pressure, temperature, historical power) and ...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): H02J3/00
Inventor 周海明梁吉董昱张贲刘军韦仲康周京阳闫湖孙其强李强刘斌刘克文
Owner CHINA ELECTRIC POWER RES INST
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