Prediction method, device and processor for electricity consumption

Abstract

The invention discloses a prediction method, a device and a processor for electricity consumption. The method comprises the steps of according to a preset prediction model, adopting historical direct supply electricity consumption data corresponding to a known electricity consumption collecting period, or the historical managing area electricity consumption data in a preset time period before the known electricity consumption collecting period, and / or the historical national electricity consumption data for prediction, acquiring the managing area electricity consumption data of each known electricity consumption collecting period and / or the prediction result of the national electricity consumption data, and acquiring the average relative error corresponding to the prediction result; then determining a calibration prediction model corresponding to the known electricity consumption collecting period according to the average relative error; finally selecting the calibration prediction model corresponding to the electricity consumption collecting period to be predicted, and acquiring the managing area electricity consumption data corresponding to the electricity consumption collecting period to be predicted and / or the prediction value of the whole social electricity consumption data by the calibration prediction model. By the method, the national electricity consumption and the managing area electricity consumption can be predicted after the direct supply electricity consumption is obtained.

Description

technical field

[0001] The invention relates to the field of power consumption, in particular to a power consumption prediction method, device and processor. Background technique

[0002] As an important energy source, electricity plays a pivotal role in daily life and work. With the rapid development of the national economy, the electricity consumption of the whole society and various industries has also grown steadily. According to economic theory, electricity demand depends on Due to the development of the national economy, it is necessary to obtain electricity consumption. The trend of electricity consumption not only affects the production and operation decisions and economic benefits of power grid operators, but also affects the trend analysis of social economy.

[0003] When obtaining electricity consumption, the electricity used by the units directly supplying and consuming units in the business area is usually referred to as the direct supply electricity consumption...

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