The invention provides a
wind power plant short-term power prediction method and
system based on similar days of meteorological elements, and relates to the field of
data processing, and the method comprises the steps: carrying out the
data processing of basic information, operation data, meteorological data and
landform data of a plurality of wind and light
hydropower stations in a target region, carrying out the clustering of the plurality of wind and light
hydropower stations, and carrying out the clustering of the plurality of wind and light
hydropower stations; determining a plurality of
wind power generation clusters, a plurality of
photovoltaic power generation clusters and a plurality of hydroelectric power generation clusters, and establishing a plurality of candidate
wind power generation prediction models, a plurality of candidate
photovoltaic power generation prediction models and a plurality of candidate hydroelectric power generation prediction models; generating a plurality of candidate combination prediction models corresponding to the wind-solar hydropower
station, and determining an
optimal combination prediction model; obtaining weather forecast data and hydrological forecast data of the wind and light hydropower
station to be predicted in the target time period; and the
wind power generation power, the
photovoltaic power generation power and the hydroelectric power generation power are predicted through the corresponding
optimal combination prediction model. The method has the
advantage of improving the accuracy of water-wind-light power generation power prediction.