Self-adaption evaluation method for reliability of systems of cascaded structures
A serial structure, self-adaptive technology, applied in special data processing applications, instruments, design optimization/simulation, etc., can solve problems such as large calculation consumption, and achieve accurate evaluation results
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Embodiment 1
[0027] The system consists of 1000 failure modes in series, and the function function of the failure mode is Z=a 1 x 1 +a 2 x 2 +β e , where 0≤a 1 ≤1, Random variable X 1 、X 2 All obey the independent standard normal distribution, here take β e =2.326 can make the failure probability of each failure mode equal, about 0.01. figure 2 A schematic diagram of all functional functions in the standard normal space of Example 1 is drawn. Next, the technical solution proposed by the present invention will be used to evaluate the failure probability of the series structure system.
[0028] Step 1: Determine the input parameters, random variables and failure modes and their functional functions of the series structure system;
[0029] Step 2: Use Monte Carlo simulation to generate N groups of random samples that obey the given random variable distribution. For Example 1, N=10000 groups of two-dimensional independent standard normal distribution random samples can be generate...
Embodiment 2
[0047] The instability of any sliding surface in slope engineering will lead to the failure of the slope system, so the slope is usually regarded as a series system. Such as Figure 4 As shown, this embodiment is a single-layer soil slope, which is divided into 12659 sliding surfaces, each of which is a failure mode, and the soil slope can be regarded as a reliability problem of a series structure system containing 12659 failure modes.
[0048] The weight of the single-layer soil slope γ=20kN / m 3 , cohesion c and internal friction angle φ obey the logarithmic normal distribution, the average value is 10kPa, 30°, and the coefficient of variation is 0.3 and 0.2, respectively. Cohesion and internal friction angle were negatively correlated with a correlation coefficient of -0.7. In addition, the random field is used to simulate the spatial variability of soil parameters, the fluctuation ranges are 20m and 2m, respectively, and the correlation structure is exponential. The crit...
Embodiment 2
[0062] For embodiment 2, the equivalent sample analysis times of the Monte Carlo simulation method is N T,MCS =5000; and the equivalent sample analysis times required by the method of the present invention is N T,ADP =112×(1+5 000 / 12 659)=156, which is only 3.12% of the Monte Carlo simulation method.
[0063] In order to further illustrate the convergence and calculation efficiency of the method proposed in the present invention, the method of the present invention was repeatedly executed 30 times for Example 2, and the obtained system reliability evaluation results are shown in Table 2.
[0064] Table 2 Example 2 System Reliability Evaluation Results
[0065]
[0066] The results in Table 2 show that the average system failure probability obtained by the method of the present invention through multiple simulations is 4.30×10 -3 , the system failure probability obtained by the Monte Carlo simulation method is 4.20×10 -3 , which are almost identical. The Unit COV of the ...
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