Declared electricity price prediction method and device

Abstract

The invention discloses a method and device for predicting declared electricity prices. The method includes: calculating the average declared electricity prices of each historical month according to the historical transaction data information of each electricity selling enterprise, and calculating the month to be analyzed through the calculation of the average declared electricity prices The average declared electricity price of the electricity sales enterprise to be predicted; the price difference between the declared electricity prices of the electricity sales enterprise to be predicted is calculated through the data of the historical transaction declaration electricity price of the electricity sales enterprise to be predicted; According to the price difference between the declared electricity prices of the electricity selling enterprises, the lowest declared electricity price of the enterprise to be predicted is calculated; the power supply and demand ratio of each historical month is obtained, and the supply and demand ratio of the month to be analyzed is calculated; according to the supply and demand ratio of the month to be analyzed , adjusting the declared electricity price information of the enterprise to be predicted to generate a declared electricity price scheme. The invention realizes the purpose of improving the prediction accuracy of declared electricity price.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of electric power technology, in particular to a method and device for predicting declared electricity prices. Background technique [0002] With the advancement of the reform of the power system, the establishment of electricity retail companies usually faces two key issues, namely, how to better predict the company's electricity sales in the next month and what the company's declared price in the power trading center should be. Among them, the prediction of the declared electricity price is more difficult for electricity selling companies, because whether the declared electricity price is reasonable is not only related to the profitability of the electricity selling company, but also related to whether the declared electricity price of the electricity selling company can be traded in the power trading center. [0003] In the current power trading systems in various provinces across the country, there have been many ...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0003] In the current power trading systems in various provinces across the country, there have been many cases where transactions cannot be made because the declared electricity price is too low. At the same time, some electricity sales companies have lost profits or even lost money because the declared electricity price is too high.

Regarding the prediction of electricity sales enterprises for the next month’s declared electricity price, the traditional method is to determine the next month’s declared electricity price through the subjective judgment of researchers, but this is too simple and rough and mainly depends on the experience of researchers, so it is difficult to be accurate It is speculated that the declared electricity price that the electricity sales company needs to submit next month will affect the profit of the electricity sales company

Images