Declared electricity price prediction method and device

A technology of electricity price and electricity, applied in the field of electric power, can solve problems such as loss, profit impact of electricity sales enterprises, loss of profits of electricity sales enterprises, etc., and achieve the effect of improving accuracy

Inactive Publication Date: 2018-02-23
北京恒华龙信数据科技有限公司
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AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0003] In the current power trading systems in various provinces across the country, there have been many cases where transactions cannot be made because the declared electricity price is too low. At the same time, some electricity sales companies have lost profits or even lost money because the declared electricity price is too high.
Regarding the prediction of electricity sales enterprises for the next month’s declared electricity price, the traditional method is to determine the next month’s declared electricity price through the subjective judgment of researchers, but this is too simple and rough and mainly depends on the experience of researchers, so it is difficult to be accurate It is speculated that the declared electricity price that the electricity sales company needs to submit next month will affect the profit of the electricity sales company

Method used

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  • Declared electricity price prediction method and device
  • Declared electricity price prediction method and device

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Effect test

Embodiment 1

[0053] see figure 1 A method for declaring electricity price prediction provided in Embodiment 1 of the present invention may include the following steps:

[0054]S11. Calculate the average declared electricity price of each historical month according to the historical transaction data information of each electricity selling enterprise, and obtain the average declared electricity price of the month to be analyzed through the calculation of the average declared electricity price;

[0055] Specifically, the electricity sales enterprise here is a general term, which is a unified name for each company or enterprise that declares electricity prices, and the historical transaction data that needs to be obtained includes information on the electricity prices declared by each electricity sales enterprise for each month in history, and Relevant information on the overall average declared electricity price, or electricity price data information for successful transactions, etc., that is...

Embodiment 2

[0069] Referring to embodiment one of the present invention and figure 1 For the specific process of steps S11 to S15 described in , various possible implementations of the method for predicting the declared electricity price will be described in this embodiment.

[0070] The transaction rules of the power trading center are that electricity sales companies are sorted according to the declared electricity prices from high to low, and power generation companies are sorted according to quotations from low to high. Subtracting the declared price of the power generation company is a regular transaction, forming a matching pair until the electricity is zero and the price difference is negative. Power generation companies are matched in the order of price priority, generating unit capacity priority, and declaration time priority, while electricity retail companies can be understood as power users who are matched in order of price priority and declaration time priority. The transact...

Embodiment 3

[0122] Corresponding to the declared electricity price forecasting method disclosed in Embodiment 1 and Embodiment 2 of the present invention, Embodiment 3 of the present invention also provides a declared electricity price forecasting device, see image 3 , the device consists of:

[0123] The first calculation module 1 is used to calculate the average declared electricity price of each historical month according to the historical transaction data information of each electricity sales enterprise, and obtain the average declared electricity price of the month to be analyzed through the calculation of the average declared electricity price;

[0124] The second calculation module 2 is used to calculate the declared electricity price price difference of the electricity sales enterprise to be predicted by using the data of the electricity price declared by the electricity sales enterprise to be predicted;

[0125] The third calculation module 3 is used to calculate and obtain the ...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a method and device for predicting declared electricity prices. The method includes: calculating the average declared electricity prices of each historical month according to the historical transaction data information of each electricity selling enterprise, and calculating the month to be analyzed through the calculation of the average declared electricity prices The average declared electricity price of the electricity sales enterprise to be predicted; the price difference between the declared electricity prices of the electricity sales enterprise to be predicted is calculated through the data of the historical transaction declaration electricity price of the electricity sales enterprise to be predicted; According to the price difference between the declared electricity prices of the electricity selling enterprises, the lowest declared electricity price of the enterprise to be predicted is calculated; the power supply and demand ratio of each historical month is obtained, and the supply and demand ratio of the month to be analyzed is calculated; according to the supply and demand ratio of the month to be analyzed , adjusting the declared electricity price information of the enterprise to be predicted to generate a declared electricity price scheme. The invention realizes the purpose of improving the prediction accuracy of declared electricity price.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of electric power technology, in particular to a method and device for predicting declared electricity prices. Background technique [0002] With the advancement of the reform of the power system, the establishment of electricity retail companies usually faces two key issues, namely, how to better predict the company's electricity sales in the next month and what the company's declared price in the power trading center should be. Among them, the prediction of the declared electricity price is more difficult for electricity selling companies, because whether the declared electricity price is reasonable is not only related to the profitability of the electricity selling company, but also related to whether the declared electricity price of the electricity selling company can be traded in the power trading center. [0003] In the current power trading systems in various provinces across the country, there have been many ...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/06
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/06
Inventor 陈少坤李亚
Owner 北京恒华龙信数据科技有限公司
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