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Production schedule prediction method and system based on data mining

A technology of production schedule, forecasting method, applied in the field of automation

Active Publication Date: 2019-11-05
中国航天系统科学与工程研究院
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  • Application Information

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Problems solved by technology

[0003] The technical problem solved by the present invention is: to overcome the deficiencies of the prior art, to provide a production progress prediction method and system based on data mining, and to solve the scientific prediction of the production progress of the satellite product structural parts machining workshop with the characteristics of multiple varieties and small batches The problem

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  • Production schedule prediction method and system based on data mining
  • Production schedule prediction method and system based on data mining
  • Production schedule prediction method and system based on data mining

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Embodiment Construction

[0042] The production schedule forecast needs to be based on the machining time to predict the start and end processing time of each part in the machining workshop, and the machining time is currently mainly carried out through mathematical model methods, simulation methods, feature reasoning methods, and neural network methods. However, these methods are mainly for large-scale batch production, and cannot be applied to satellite products with multi-variety and small-batch characteristics. On the basis of fully referring to previous research results, the present invention proposes a satellite-oriented product-oriented machining workshop production progress prediction method based on data mining, obtains the relevant influencing factors of man-hour calculation through historical data mining, and integrates the current processing status of all parts in the workshop , to predict the production progress, and provide reference for the subsequent scientific formulation of production ...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a production schedule prediction method and system based on data mining, and belongs to the technical field of automation. The method comprises the following steps of establishing a database, and storing historical data of part machining and workshop resource data; based on the historical data and a prediction algorithm, calculating a function relationship between the partmachining working hours and the working hour influence parameters; receiving a part production plan and a part technological procedure on the basis of the current part machining process and step to obtain a man-hour influence parameter of the current part machining process and a to-be-machined process; calculating the working hours of all current to-be-machined procedures of the machined parts; and calculating the machining starting time and the machining ending time of all the to-be-machined processes of the current machined parts to predict the production progress of the parts. On the basisof obtaining the calculation functions of all the working procedures and working hours of the machining workshop, the part production schedule calculation method under different machining states is provided, and a basis is provided for accurately predicting the part production schedule.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to a production schedule prediction method and system based on data mining, belonging to the technical field of automation. Background technique [0002] Man-hour calculation and production schedule forecast are important references for manufacturing companies to formulate overall production plans, determine product production nodes, and cost control. Aerospace products represented by rockets and satellites have the characteristics of typical multi-variety, small-batch and mixed-line production. There are many types of parts, long processing routes, and complex and changeable production processes. Production plans are often adjusted due to design optimization and task control. and task rescheduling. However, the current experience-based production plan formulation and production scheduling method lacks scientific analysis of production process factors such as processing hours and resource use, and on the other hand cannot scienti...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/04G06F16/2458G06F17/18G06K9/62
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/04G06F16/2465G06F16/2477G06F17/18G06F18/24323Y02P90/30
Inventor 于成龙侯俊杰张伟蒲洪波郭旭凯孙磊王家胜徐皓
Owner 中国航天系统科学与工程研究院
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