Infectious disease epidemic risk prediction analysis method

A technology of risk prediction and analysis method, applied in the field of epidemic risk prediction and analysis of infectious diseases, which can solve the problems of different transmission modes of infectious diseases, difficulty in determining the source of infectious diseases and predicting epidemic risks, and achieves a simplified model construction process and epidemic risk of infectious diseases. The effect of high prediction accuracy and improved accuracy

Active Publication Date: 2021-02-12
HARBIN UNIV
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Problems solved by technology

At present, my country's control measures for emerging infectious diseases are mainly to control confirmed cases and isolate contacted or susceptible people at the same time. It is very difficult to determine the source of the disease and predict the epidemic risk

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  • Infectious disease epidemic risk prediction analysis method
  • Infectious disease epidemic risk prediction analysis method
  • Infectious disease epidemic risk prediction analysis method

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Embodiment Construction

[0066] A kind of infectious disease epidemic risk prediction analysis method of the present invention mainly comprises the following steps:

[0067] Step 1. Information collection:

[0068] S101. Classification of infectious diseases

[0069] According to the clinical detection data of patients with infectious diseases, the conditions of the patients can be divided into three conditions: mild, severe and death. According to this situation, the present invention sets the level of infectious diseases as mild, severe and death.

[0070] S102. Acquire all infectious disease data and the personal data of infectious disease patients from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and at the same time, classify and store all data in the database according to the classification of infectious diseases; among them, infectious disease data mainly include: infectious disease medically defined Name, date of first diagnosis, name of confirmed institution, time of diagnosis, diagnosis ...

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Abstract

An infectious disease epidemic risk prediction analysis method belongs to the technical field of infectious disease risk prediction. Infectious disease process risk prediction and early warning analysis are achieved through the steps including information collection, text feature vectorization processing through a TF-IDF algorithm, construction of an infectious disease epidemic risk prediction model , model optimization through a SavitzyGolay algorithm, risk prediction and risk early warning. Text feature vectorization processing is carried out on various data by using a TF-IDF algorithm for the first time, unification of digital vectors of the various data is realized, subsequent model construction is simplified, more accurate basic data is provided for optimization model processing, andthe model prediction accuracy is improved. A Savitzy-Golay algorithm is used for achieving model optimization processing for the first time, smooth filtering is conducted on the model, interference ofthe error rate in the model is reduced, it is guaranteed that the model does not change slightly in the aspects of data calculation and detection, and the prediction accuracy of the model is improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the technical field of infectious disease risk prediction, and in particular relates to an infectious disease epidemic risk prediction and analysis method. Background technique [0002] Infectious diseases are a class of diseases caused by various pathogens that can be transmitted between humans, animals and animals or between humans and animals. At present, my country's control measures for emerging infectious diseases are mainly to control confirmed cases and isolate contact or susceptible people. However, different infectious diseases have different modes of infection, and potential high-risk groups are widely distributed. It is very difficult to determine the etiology of the disease and predict the epidemic risk. Therefore, effective prevention and control of infectious diseases is very necessary to prevent the occurrence of mass morbidity in a short period of time. SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION [0003] The purpose of the pr...

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G16H10/60G16H50/30G16H50/70G16H50/80G06K9/62
CPCG16H50/80G16H50/30G16H50/70G16H10/60G06F18/214G06F18/24323Y02A90/10
Inventor 朱莉丛二勇李欣
Owner HARBIN UNIV
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