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Track cycle prediction method based on resampling

A prediction method and resampling technology, applied in the field of communication, can solve the problems of affecting flight safety, single prediction model and large error.

Pending Publication Date: 2021-09-14
XIDIAN UNIV +1
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AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

This type of algorithm is more accurate than classical forecasting methods, but there is still the problem of short forecasting time
[0007] To sum up, the existing target trajectory prediction technology has the disadvantages of large error, single prediction model, and short prediction time, which leads to poor accuracy of predicted trajectory and affects flight safety.

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  • Track cycle prediction method based on resampling
  • Track cycle prediction method based on resampling
  • Track cycle prediction method based on resampling

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Embodiment Construction

[0025] The embodiments and effects of the present invention will be further described in detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings.

[0026] refer to figure 1 , the present invention is based on the track cycle prediction method under resampling, and the implementation steps are as follows:

[0027] Step 1, generate track data set.

[0028] Set the system duration to 3000s, the system sampling period T to 1s, the process evolution noise variance to 0.01, the target x-axis initial velocity to 200m / s, the y-axis initial velocity to 200m / s, the z-axis initial velocity to 0m / s, and the x-axis initial coordinates is 15, the starting coordinate of the y-axis is 15, and the starting coordinate of the z-axis is 15000m;

[0029] The target moves periodically with a cycle of 600s, and the maneuvering state parameters in a single cycle are shown in Table 1:

[0030] Table 1 Target maneuver information in some time periods

[0031]

[0032] Table 1 shows the change...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a track cycle prediction method based on resampling, and mainly solves the problems that in track prediction in the prior art, the prediction duration is short, and the prediction error is too large due to the fact that the motion state of a target changes in the future. According to the implementation scheme, the method comprises the steps of simulating a historical track and a future track of a maneuvering target; filtering, resampling and normalizing the historical track data of the target in sequence; constructing a neural network model composed of a Bi-LSTM layer, a Dropout layer, a Dense layer and an activation layer, and training the neural network model by using the preprocessed track data; generating part of historical track data by using a loop strategy, and calculating the historical track data by using the trained neural network model parameters; and carrying out smooth filtering on a calculation result to obtain a final predicted track. According to the method, the prediction error is small, the prediction time is long, when the target motion state changes in the future, the accurate prediction track can still be obtained, and the method can be used for target tracking.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the technical field of communication, in particular to a cyclic prediction method of a track, which can be used for target tracking. Background technique [0002] Target trajectory prediction technology is to accurately predict the future trajectory state information of the target, and it is one of the key technologies in the field of target tracking. [0003] As the aviation flight environment tends to become more complex, due to the influence of uncertain factors such as system errors, bad weather, and abnormal performance of the sensor itself, the sensor will not be able to continue to detect the target track information, which will affect flight safety. Therefore, it is necessary to have a certain track prediction ability to provide more complete data information for subsequent target tracking to ensure flight safety. [0004] At present, trajectory prediction algorithms are mainly divided into dynamic models based on flig...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06K9/62G06N3/04G06N3/08
CPCG06Q10/04G06N3/08G06N3/044G06F18/214
Inventor 刘向丽宋仪雯柯励李赞王志国李学楠
Owner XIDIAN UNIV
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