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Urban OD (Origin-Destination) people flow prediction method based on gravity multi-layer three-dimensional residual network

A forecasting method and gravity mechanics technology, applied in neural learning methods, forecasting, biological neural network models, etc., to achieve the effects of balanced spatial redistribution, high platform profits, and reduced idle time

Active Publication Date: 2022-03-04
HANGZHOU INNOVATION RES INST OF BEIJING UNIV OF AERONAUTICS & ASTRONAUTICS
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  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0005] In order to solve the challenge of city-wide OD crowd flow prediction, the present invention provides an urban OD crowd flow prediction method based on gravity multi-layer 3D residual network
This method can accurately and effectively learn the space-time dependence relationship between urban global regions with time evolution, and solve the noise effect caused by data sparseness.

Method used

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  • Urban OD (Origin-Destination) people flow prediction method based on gravity multi-layer three-dimensional residual network
  • Urban OD (Origin-Destination) people flow prediction method based on gravity multi-layer three-dimensional residual network
  • Urban OD (Origin-Destination) people flow prediction method based on gravity multi-layer three-dimensional residual network

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Embodiment Construction

[0012] The present invention will be further elaborated and described below in combination with specific embodiments. The technical features of the various implementations in the present invention can be combined accordingly on the premise that there is no conflict with each other.

[0013] like figure 1 Shown, overall flow process of the present invention is:

[0014] The present invention divides the entire urban area into n (rectangular) equal-sized areas, and the size of each area is i×j, expressed as ,in and Represents the number of origins and destinations. The population information in the study area is divided into t time periods. The purpose of this invention is to calculate the crowd flow between each pair of origin and destination (OD) for the next time period t+1.

[0015] The gravity-based multi-layer three-dimensional residual network of the present invention consists of three modules. They are: a background information module is designed, including det...

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Abstract

The invention discloses an urban OD (Origin-Destination) people flow prediction method based on a gravity multi-layer three-dimensional residual network. Firstly, three OD information inputs are constructed, and then a multilayer three-dimensional residual network based on gravitational mechanics is trained; the multi-layer three-dimensional residual network based on gravitational mechanics comprises a background information module, a plane OD historical information module and a gravitational mechanics-based OD historical information module. Shallow layer features and deep layer features of plane and gravitational mechanics-based OD historical information are subjected to jumping type aggregation connection; a cyclic three-dimensional tensor vertical and horizontal self-attention block is designed and is used for learning the influence of time-space-background information of local and global neighbors on crowd flow; and finally, urban OD people flow prediction can be carried out by using the trained network. The OD passenger flow in the future time period obtained through prediction can be used for pre-judging passenger flows of different traffic modes, such as online car-hailing, taxis, public transportation, shared bicycles and other traffic systems, and platform benefits and service quality are balanced.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the field of urban crowd flow prediction, and in particular relates to an urban OD crowd flow prediction method based on a multi-layer three-dimensional residual network of gravity. Background technique [0002] As urban populations grow, different modes of transportation such as taxis, shared cars, and public transportation play an important role in many cities. Due to the ever-increasing passenger demand and the acquisition of real-time data of people flow by various sensors, people are more and more interested in using data to implement dynamic and adaptive strategies before the surge of travel demand in order to prevent the degradation of service quality. [0003] Predicting people flow demand can be used to (1) better balance the spatial distribution of vehicle re-resources; (2) reduce vehicle idle time, improve system service quality, and achieve higher platform profits. But most currently focus on regional traffic-level...

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/26G06Q50/30G06K9/62G06N3/04G06N3/08
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/26G06N3/08G06N3/045G06F18/23213G06F18/214G06Q50/40Y02T10/40
Inventor 马佳曼蒋淑园金晨王瑾罗喜伶
Owner HANGZHOU INNOVATION RES INST OF BEIJING UNIV OF AERONAUTICS & ASTRONAUTICS
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