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Research and development investment decision-making system and investment decision-making method

A decision-making system and decision-making technology, applied in the field of science and technology finance, can solve problems such as losing the market and losing the first advantage, and achieve the effect of quickly and accurately grasping and quickly and accurately investing opportunities

Pending Publication Date: 2022-04-15
谢祥添
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  • Summary
  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

In a competitive environment, early R&D investment will lose the option value of future uncertainty, especially the option value of demand uncertainty, and delay will lose the "first-mover advantage" due to competitors preempting R&D investment, or even lose the "first-mover advantage" due to competitors preempting investment. The exclusivity of the R&D results of R&D investment and the loss of the entire market

Method used

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  • Research and development investment decision-making system and investment decision-making method
  • Research and development investment decision-making system and investment decision-making method
  • Research and development investment decision-making system and investment decision-making method

Examples

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Effect test

Embodiment 1

[0049] Such as figure 1 As shown, the present embodiment provides a research and development investment decision-making system, including a data collection module, a data preprocessing module, a data analysis module, and a data output module; figure 2 The working principle diagram of the R&D investment decision system.

[0050] The data collection module is used to collect initial data for R&D investment decisions;

[0051] The data preprocessing module is used to preprocess the initial data to obtain analysis data;

[0052] The data analysis module is used to receive the analysis data and import it into the investment value analysis model for analysis to obtain R&D investment decisions;

[0053] The data output module is used to output the R&D investment decision;

[0054] The investment value analysis model includes a leader-follower game model, and the leader-follower game model is obtained from the leader-follower game when the research and development project is compl...

Embodiment 2

[0118] In this example, Company A is an aluminum profile manufacturer integrating R&D, manufacturing, and sales, and is in the leading position in the industry in the manufacture of special aluminum profiles. There is an existing equipment that requires a new type of special aluminum profile. The investment cost of research and development of special aluminum profile is 10 million, and the demand is expected to obey the geometric Brownian motion with a growth rate of 0.015 and a fluctuation rate of 0.2. Enterprise A plans to invest in research and development, and the unit cost of the product is 120,000 / ton. At the same time, company B, its main competitor, also plans to invest in research and development. The unit cost of products of company B is 150,000 / ton, and the average success rate of research and development is 80%, which obeys the Poisson distribution. The average R&D success rate of enterprise A is 50%, which obeys the Poisson distribution.

[0119] Obtain historica...

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Abstract

The invention relates to a research and development investment decision-making system, which comprises a data acquisition module, a data preprocessing module, a data analysis module and a data output module, the data acquisition module is used for acquiring initial data of research and development investment decisions; the data preprocessing module is used for preprocessing the initial data to obtain analysis data; the data analysis module is used for receiving the analysis data and importing the analysis data into an investment value analysis model for analysis to obtain an investment decision; the data output module is used for outputting the investment decision; the investment value analysis model comprises a leader and follower game model, and the leader and follower game model is obtained by the leader and follower game when the research and development project is integrally completed.

Description

technical field [0001] The present invention relates to the technical field of science and technology finance, and more specifically, to a research and development investment decision-making system and an investment decision-making method. Background technique [0002] With the intensification of market competition, the competition of enterprises has extended from products to research and development. R&D can not only provide new revenue growth points for enterprises, but also enhance the competitiveness of enterprises and become an important means for enterprises to gain competitive advantages. In addition, R&D has spillover effects and effectively promotes social progress. R&D is long-term, creative and novel, requiring enterprises to continuously invest a lot of manpower and material resources. Therefore, R&D investment has become an important part of corporate strategy. In a competitive environment, early R&D investment will lose the option value of future uncertainty,...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q40/06G06F17/11G06F16/248
CPCG06Q40/06G06F17/11G06F16/248
Inventor 谢祥添李喜梅肖国荣
Owner 谢祥添