Chemical industry park real-time quantitative risk assessment method based on multi-disaster real-time coupling

A chemical park and risk assessment technology, applied in the field of electric power and communication, to improve the level of risk prevention and risk management, and promote stable development.

Inactive Publication Date: 2017-05-10
浙江图讯科技股份有限公司
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Problems solved by technology

[0005] In order to overcome the above-mentioned deficiencies, the present invention aims to provide a real-time quantitative risk assessment method for chemical industry parks based on multi-disaster real-time coupling. Major issues that need to be solved in the development process, objectively evaluate and effectively prevent and reduce the losses and impacts caus

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  • Chemical industry park real-time quantitative risk assessment method based on multi-disaster real-time coupling
  • Chemical industry park real-time quantitative risk assessment method based on multi-disaster real-time coupling
  • Chemical industry park real-time quantitative risk assessment method based on multi-disaster real-time coupling

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Embodiment

[0030] Example: such as figure 1 As shown, a real-time quantitative risk assessment method for chemical industry parks based on multi-hazard real-time coupling includes the following steps:

[0031] 1) Determine the protection distance based on Monte Carlo analysis

[0032] In the process of determining the protection distance between the enterprises in the chemical park and the protection target, the following basic principles should be followed: ① People-oriented principle, the main object of protection is the personnel in the surrounding areas of the chemical park, mainly residential areas, commercial centers, sports facilities, etc. Visual venues, etc., especially for children, women, the elderly, schools, hospitals and other groups should be given priority. ②Precautionary principle. The protection distance determined through risk assessment is only one of the main measures to prevent possible sudden environmental pollution accidents. The chemical park enterprises themsel...

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Abstract

The invention relates to a chemical industry park real-time quantitative risk assessment method based on multi-disaster real-time coupling, introduces a Monte Carlo analysis method and solves the problem of uncertainty of setting of a model probability parameter. By effective integration of the Monte Carlo analysis method and a risk distance calculation method, a chemical industry park site selection risk protection distance is initially determined. According to an environmental risk system principle, by combining characteristics of the chemical industry, a chemical industry park enterprise comprehensive risk assessment index system based on inherent risks of a risk source, effectiveness of a prevention and control mechanism and vulnerability of a receptor is constructed. A catastrophe rating method is introduced to assess an environmental risk comprehensive level, a chemical industry enterprise environmental risk comprehensive assessment method based on a catastrophe principle is proposed, and comprehensive assessment grades are divided into five grade levels so as to discriminate a comprehensive risk level of a chemical industry park enterprise and timely take emergency response strategies. According to the chemical industry park real-time quantitative risk assessment method disclosed by the invention, planning evaluation and risk management of a chemical industry park can be implemented, and a risk prevention ability and a risk management level of the chemical industry park can be improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of electric power and communication, in particular to a real-time quantitative risk assessment method for chemical industry parks based on multi-disaster real-time coupling. Background technique [0002] In the 21st century, in order to solve the three major strategic issues of resource allocation, protection of the ecological environment, and sustainable development, based on the principles of "centralized layout, intensive land use, and industrial agglomeration", combined with the regional resource and environmental carrying capacity, industrial foundation, and development advantages , promote the intensive construction of advantageous industries, related industries and related elements, and form a centralized development zone with clear leading industries, agglomeration of related industries, sharing of resources and facilities, centralized pollution control, and recycling of waste. The petrochemical indu...

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/06
CPCG06Q10/0635G06Q10/06375
Inventor 王斌虞晓波项疆腾陈利国来亦子江丽琴
Owner 浙江图讯科技股份有限公司
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