Chemical industry park real-time quantitative risk assessment method based on multi-disaster real-time coupling

Abstract

The invention relates to a chemical industry park real-time quantitative risk assessment method based on multi-disaster real-time coupling, introduces a Monte Carlo analysis method and solves the problem of uncertainty of setting of a model probability parameter. By effective integration of the Monte Carlo analysis method and a risk distance calculation method, a chemical industry park site selection risk protection distance is initially determined. According to an environmental risk system principle, by combining characteristics of the chemical industry, a chemical industry park enterprise comprehensive risk assessment index system based on inherent risks of a risk source, effectiveness of a prevention and control mechanism and vulnerability of a receptor is constructed. A catastrophe rating method is introduced to assess an environmental risk comprehensive level, a chemical industry enterprise environmental risk comprehensive assessment method based on a catastrophe principle is proposed, and comprehensive assessment grades are divided into five grade levels so as to discriminate a comprehensive risk level of a chemical industry park enterprise and timely take emergency response strategies. According to the chemical industry park real-time quantitative risk assessment method disclosed by the invention, planning evaluation and risk management of a chemical industry park can be implemented, and a risk prevention ability and a risk management level of the chemical industry park can be improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of electric power and communication, in particular to a real-time quantitative risk assessment method for chemical industry parks based on multi-disaster real-time coupling. Background technique [0002] In the 21st century, in order to solve the three major strategic issues of resource allocation, protection of the ecological environment, and sustainable development, based on the principles of "centralized layout, intensive land use, and industrial agglomeration", combined with the regional resource and environmental carrying capacity, industrial foundation, and development advantages , promote the intensive construction of advantageous industries, related industries and related elements, and form a centralized development zone with clear leading industries, agglomeration of related industries, sharing of resources and facilities, centralized pollution control, and recycling of waste. The petrochemical indu...

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Problems solved by technology

[0005] In order to overcome the above-mentioned deficiencies, the present invention aims to provide a real-time quantitative risk assessment method for chemical industry parks based on multi-disaster real-time coupling. Major issues that need to be solved in the development process, objectively evaluate and effectively prevent and reduce the losses and impacts caused by environmental risk accidents; make reasonable planning for the chemical park, determine the protection distance between the park and the surrounding planning areas; determine the environmental risk of the chemical park carry out effective environmental risk management to ensure production safety and social stability, and to achieve sound corporate development

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