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Model for evaluating influence of current standards on future economy development and verification method

A technology of evaluation model and verification method, applied in the field of future economic development impact evaluation model and verification, which can solve the problems of lack of evaluation model and verification method, etc.

Pending Publication Date: 2018-04-13
广州市标准化研究院
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Problems solved by technology

[0003] In order to overcome the above-mentioned deficiencies, the purpose of the present invention is to provide a current standard to the future economic development impact assessment model and verification method to the art, so that it mainly solves the lack of existing current standards on the future economic development impact assessment model and verification method. technical issues

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  • Model for evaluating influence of current standards on future economy development and verification method
  • Model for evaluating influence of current standards on future economy development and verification method
  • Model for evaluating influence of current standards on future economy development and verification method

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Embodiment Construction

[0035] Now in conjunction with the accompanying drawings, the structure and use of the present invention will be further described. Such as image 3 As shown, its implementation steps are as follows:

[0036] 1. Data extraction: standard data extraction: extract national standards, industry standards, and local standards related feature items, including standard name, standard type, release implementation date, whether it is invalid, expiration date, drafting unit, drafter name; economic data extraction: The gross product (GDP) data, which measures the regional economic level, is extracted by region and industry.

[0037] 2. Data analysis: In the dual time series data, some non-stationary economic time series often show a common trend of change, and these series do not necessarily have a direct relationship. At this time, the regression of these data, although there are Higher R-squared, but the result is moot. This situation is called spurious regression or spurious regres...

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Abstract

The invention relates to a model for evaluating influence of current standards on future economic development and a verification method and aims to solve a problem of lacking of the model for evaluating influence of the current standards on future economic development and the verification method. The method is characterized in that through stability test, co-integration experience and causality test of the model, time series data is determined to have stability, the long-term and stable equilibrium relationship between variables is realized, the standard stock has an impact on change of the regional GDP, autoregressive analysis is further utilized to better quantify influence of the past GDP and the past implementation standards on the current economy, the false regression phenomenon in the double time series data is removed, and a model expression is established. The verification method is advantaged in that a recursive equation for calculating a pulse response coefficient matrix is acquired through stable point test of the model, an error expression is predicted, continuity of the impact effect is displayed through figures, an elastic coefficient value of the standard lag periodfor the economic benefit evaluation model is acquired, and the optimal digestion period of standards for economy development is quantified.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to a future economic development impact assessment model and a verification method, in particular to an assessment model and a verification method for the impact of current standards on future economic development. Background technique [0002] As the core element supporting quality development, standards reflect the technical level of a country (region), are the systematic output of "R&D investment-patent application-standard formulation" in the regional economy, and play a role in technological innovation and dissemination in the regional economy. Key role. Regarding the theoretical research on standards and regional economic growth, different scholars at home and abroad have mostly analyzed from the current period, analyzing the impact of current standards on current economic benefits. Therefore, the present invention establishes a quantitative model and an empirical analysis method for the continuous impact of current standar...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/06G06Q40/00
CPCG06Q10/06375G06Q10/06393G06Q40/00
Inventor 徐湛陈江玲王琦吴雨洲
Owner 广州市标准化研究院
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