Method and system for predicting environmental meteorological data of power transmission line

A technology for transmission lines and environmental meteorology, which is used in weather forecasting, forecasting, meteorology, etc., can solve problems such as poor anti-interference ability, low prediction accuracy, and high accuracy requirements, and achieve strong anti-drying ability and forecast data. Accurate and less prone to abnormal data interference

Active Publication Date: 2020-07-28
NANJING UNIV
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Problems solved by technology

However, due to the complexity and difficulty of the meteorological prediction problem itself, especially for the application scenarios where the accuracy of the environmental meteorological prediction of the transmission line is high, once a misjudgment may aff...

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  • Method and system for predicting environmental meteorological data of power transmission line
  • Method and system for predicting environmental meteorological data of power transmission line
  • Method and system for predicting environmental meteorological data of power transmission line

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Embodiment Construction

[0052] The technical solution of the present disclosure will be described in detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings.

[0053] Install sensors near the transmission line to collect meteorological data of the surrounding environment of the transmission line, and at the same time record the actual meteorological data according to the weather forecast data to ensure that the sensor can collect meteorological data in real time. The cycle and content of collecting data set D such as:

[0054] Collection period of data set D: one hour;

[0055] The collection content of data set D: at least include the temperature at a height of 2 meters above the ground, the relative humidity at a height of 2 meters above the ground, the wind speed at a height of 10 meters above the ground, and the corresponding weather forecast data.

[0056] Then establish a one-to-one correspondence relationship between the collected meteorological data and the corresponding weather forecast ...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a method and a system for predicting environmental meteorological data of a power transmission line. The invention relates to the technical field of meteorological model prediction. The technical problems that a traditional weather prediction method is poor in anti-noise capability and prone to data interference are solved. The method comprises steps of collecting environmental meteorological data of a power transmission line and weather forecast data of corresponding time; dividing the data into a training set and a test set; putting the training set into a TCN model combined with a weighted channel for training to obtain a weather prediction model; and then testing the meteorological prediction model by using the test set so as to adjust the hyper-parameter thetaof the meteorological prediction model, and then repeating model training until the meteorological prediction model converges or reaches the maximum number of iterations to obtain a final prediction model. The final prediction model obtained through the method is high in anti-noise capacity and not prone to being interfered by abnormal data, and finally obtained prediction data are more accurate compared with an existing model.

Description

technical field [0001] The present disclosure relates to the technical field of meteorological prediction models, in particular to a method and system for predicting environmental meteorological data of transmission lines. Background technique [0002] With global warming and abnormal circulation, extreme weather has become more frequent. In recent years, ice disasters in southern my country have caused large-scale collapse of towers, damage to towers, broken lines, and insulators falling off in large areas, resulting in large-scale and long-term power outages. , seriously affecting normal production and life, and bringing a heavy burden of power grid restoration. Weather prediction plays a very important role in power system planning, disaster prevention and mitigation, real-time monitoring and many other fields. For example, the output power of photovoltaic power generation system depends largely on the amount of solar radiation that photovoltaic panels can receive. The am...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G01W1/10G06Q10/04G06Q50/06G06Q50/26G06K9/62G06N3/04G06N3/08
CPCG01W1/10G06Q10/04G06Q50/06G06Q50/26G06N3/08G06N3/045G06F18/214
Inventor 路通岳圣凯袁明磊
Owner NANJING UNIV
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