Method for predicting remaining useful life of lithium ion battery based on long-correlation fractional order degradation model

A lithium-ion battery, effective life technology, applied in forecasting, data processing applications, design optimization/simulation, etc., can solve the problems of cumbersome forecasting steps, narrow application range, low forecasting accuracy, etc. The effect of a wide range and large economic benefits

Active Publication Date: 2021-01-22
SHANGHAI UNIV OF ENG SCI
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Problems solved by technology

However, in the current methods for predicting the remaining effective life of lithium-ion batteries, the model method based on the working principle usually has cumbersome prediction steps, it is difficult to achieve perfect results, and the scope of application is narrow, and the above-mentioned degradation data-driven method cannot fit the degradation data. The complex characteristics and low prediction accuracy lead to the inability of the existing lithium-ion battery remaining effective life prediction method to be widely used.

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  • Method for predicting remaining useful life of lithium ion battery based on long-correlation fractional order degradation model
  • Method for predicting remaining useful life of lithium ion battery based on long-correlation fractional order degradation model
  • Method for predicting remaining useful life of lithium ion battery based on long-correlation fractional order degradation model

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Embodiment

[0045] A method for predicting the remaining useful life of a lithium-ion battery based on a long-term correlation fractional-order degradation model provided by the present invention comprises the following steps:

[0046] S1, obtain the historical degradation data of lithium-ion battery capacity (such as figure 1 shown) as the predicted input sequence {X t : t=1,2,...}: In this embodiment, the degradation data before the capacity degradation to 1.3A is selected as the prediction input sequence. In this embodiment, the degradation data of the lithium battery capacity used comes from NASA AI Ames database (NASA AmesPrognostics Data Repository) lithium battery open source data set;

[0047] S2. Using the rescaled range analysis method and the characteristic function method to calculate the estimated value of the Hurst exponent H and the characteristic index α of the predicted input sequence, the specific operations are as follows:

[0048] S21. Use the rescaled rang...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a method for predicting the remaining useful life of a lithium ion battery based on a long-correlation fractional order degradation model. The method comprises the following steps: S1, acquiring historical degradation data of the capacity of the lithium ion battery as a prediction input sequence; s2, calculating estimated values of a Hurst index H and a feature index alphaof the prediction input sequence; s3, judging whether the prediction input sequence meets a long correlation characteristic or not according to the estimated values of H and alpha, and if so, calculating estimated values of a drift parameter mu and a diffusion parameter delta; if not, returning to the step S1; s4, presetting a failure threshold, and obtaining the actual residual effective life ofthe lithium ion battery; s5, establishing a long correlation fractional order Levy degradation model; s6, calculating a predicted value of the end-of-life time of the lithium ion battery; and S7, calculating the predicted residual effective life of the lithium ion battery. The method provided by the invention can accurately predict the residual effective life of the lithium ion battery.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to a method for predicting the remaining effective life of a lithium-ion battery based on a long-term correlation fractional-order degradation model, and belongs to the technical field of prediction of the remaining effective life of the lithium-ion battery. Background technique [0002] The remaining effective life prediction of lithium-ion batteries is a series of prediction work carried out on the degradation index objects such as the capacity of lithium-ion batteries. As a power supply module for large electric equipment and complex electronic equipment, the reliability of lithium-ion batteries directly affects the durability and safety of these equipment. Lithium-ion battery damage or performance degradation can cause the overall shutdown or failure of electric equipment, and even safety accidents. Through the reliability analysis of lithium-ion batteries with the prediction of remaining effective life as the core, it provid...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06F30/20G06F7/556G06F119/04
CPCG06Q10/04G06F30/20G06F7/556G06F2119/04Y02E60/10
Inventor 刘鹤宋万清
Owner SHANGHAI UNIV OF ENG SCI
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