The invention relates to a method for predicting the integrity of a
hydrate mining well in a sea area. The method comprises the following steps: analyzing
logging data and a
coring sample; establishing a full-size geomechanical model based on the
logging data and the
coring sample; reservoir deformation caused by mining is quantitatively calculated; the displacement and stress of the whole well section of the mining well are calculated; based on the displacement and stress analysis of the whole well section of the mining well, a
risk area of shaft integrity is speculated; designing a solution for reducing the risk; by calculating the displacement and stress of the whole well section of the mining well, the integrity risk of the mining well caused by stratum settlement is effectively predicted, the integrity
risk area of the shaft can be predicted in the making stage of a sea area
hydrate development scheme, corresponding adjustment is conducted in well track design, and the development efficiency is improved. Therefore, the
wellbore integrity risk of a sea area
hydrate mining well is reduced, and the safety and reliability of the mining well are improved.