The invention relates to a safety
critical system risk
dynamic assessment system based on multi-
modal fusion and
uncertainty quantification, and belongs to the technical field of industrial safety and
artificial intelligence crossing. The technical problems of limitation of a single prediction model, lack of uncertainty representation, coarse and shallow multi-
modal information fusion and the like of an existing safety
evaluation system are solved. According to the method, a
system architecture integrating multi-source heterogeneous
data acquisition, space-
time alignment preprocessing,
modal adaptive fusion, uncertainty dynamic quantification and risk
interpretability output is constructed. According to the
system, an improved conformal prediction framework is adopted, and a Bayesian neural network and deep evidence learning are combined, so that real-time
dynamic assessment and uncertainty accuracy measurement of safety
critical system risks are realized. The core technology comprises multi-modal
time sequence feature extraction of a gated cycle unit network based on an attention mechanism, fused
hysteresis drift failure modeling of introducing a modal confidence imbalance coefficient and a modal missing detection
delay coefficient, and a personalized
uncertainty quantification method of conditional risk coverage guarantee. The method is especially suitable for the safety key fields such as industrial
process control and
infrastructure management, can provide double indexes of
risk level and confidence for decision makers, and significantly improves the reliability and
operability of
risk assessment.