The invention relates to the crossing field of
mechanical engineering and intelligent prediction technologies, particularly discloses a
coal mill efficiency and service life prediction method and device, and aims to solve the problem that a traditional model is difficult to deal with
nonlinear coupling prediction of equipment performance degradation under
variable load and
coal quality fluctuation. The method comprises the following steps: receiving a multi-source
sensing data stream and constructing a structured
feature matrix with aligned time sequences; efficiency degradation implicit features are extracted through a nonlinear dynamic
encoder, and the interaction influence of
grinding roller abrasion, lining plate fatigue and bearing degradation is quantified in combination with a multi-failure-
mode coupling analysis module; and cooperatively predicting a
network output efficiency
attenuation curve and residual life probability distribution through a bidirectional attention mechanism. According to the method, through fusion of multi-source
time sequence characteristics and multi-failure
coupling modeling, limitation of a static threshold value and linear extrapolation is broken through, prediction precision and timeliness are remarkably improved, intelligent maintenance decision support is provided for a
coal-fired power
plant, non-planned shutdown risks are reduced, and operation economy and
system reliability are optimized.