The invention discloses a method and
system for predicting well wall fracture and
instability of a salt-bearing stratum, and the method comprises the steps: respectively calculating and obtaining three
drilling fluid densities through the quantitative prediction of the
creep rate, collapse pressure and
well drilling induced joint extension of the salt-bearing stratum, and controlling and determining an optimal
drilling fluid density range through the three
drilling fluid densities. The salt concentration required by the drilling fluid capable of inhibiting salt rock
dissolution is calculated, so that drilling parameters of the salt-bearing stratum are optimally designed, the density range of the drilling fluid of the salt-bearing stratum and the upper
limit value of the degree of mineralization of the drilling fluid are determined by comprehensively considering various factors such as the salt rock
creep rate, the
dissolution rate, stratum collapse and induced fracture generation, and the drilling parameters of the salt-bearing stratum are optimized.
Well control safety in salt-containing formation drilling is ensured, underground complexity is avoided, the drilling speed is increased, meanwhile, secondary disasters such as environmental
pollution and waste of human, property and material are avoided, and on the basis of the method, the safety of salt-containing formation drilling can be improved, the drilling speed can be increased, the development process of oil and gas resources can be enhanced, and energy safety can be promoted.