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River water quality prediction method considering space-time correlation and meteorological factors

A technology of time-space correlation and meteorological factors, applied in forecasting, neural learning methods, general water supply conservation, etc., can solve the problems of ignoring the impact of upstream water quality on the trend of downstream water quality changes, and different impacts, achieving reliable results and improving accuracy , effective excavation and expression

Active Publication Date: 2021-02-19
FUZHOU UNIV
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Problems solved by technology

[0003] At present, many scholars have studied the methods of water quality index prediction, but there are still the following deficiencies: 1. These existing prediction methods are limited to single-site prediction, ignoring the influence of upstream water quality on the downstream water quality change trend; 2. Different locations The impact of upstream sites on downstream water quality will also be different. There are two situations of basic stability and sudden change in water quality at different times. These two change modes also have different impacts on future water quality conditions.

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  • River water quality prediction method considering space-time correlation and meteorological factors
  • River water quality prediction method considering space-time correlation and meteorological factors
  • River water quality prediction method considering space-time correlation and meteorological factors

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Embodiment 1

[0099] In this embodiment, in order to evaluate the performance of the model created by the present invention, the following comparative experiments are set up: using four models, specifically including the single-site LSTM model without fusion attention module, RBF-SVR, SARIMA model and the present invention. TS-Attention-LSTM model, respectively input the dissolved oxygen water quality index data of the river into the model and obtain the predicted water quality index results, compare the predicted results with the real results, and calculate the mean absolute error (Mean Absolute Error, MAE) of various methods , mean absolute percentage error (Mean Absolute Percentage Error, MAPE), root mean square error (Root Mean Square Error, RMSE), and coefficient of determination (R-squared, R 2 ) is used as the accuracy evaluation index of the model, and a comparative analysis is carried out. The accuracy evaluation results are shown in Table 1.

[0100] The TS-Attention-LSTM model c...

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Abstract

The invention relates to a river water quality prediction model considering space-time correlation and meteorological factors. Firstly, a spatial attention module is embedded into an encoder to extract significant spatial correlation between upstream and downstream water qualities and interaction between water quality indexes; secondly, the meteorological factors and the spatial features are inputinto a decoder, and a time attention module is embedded into the decoder to extract important time sequence features; and finally, multi-step prediction of the water quality indexes is achieved by using a long-short-term memory neural network. The model has the advantages that the implicit space-time dependence relationship between upstream and downstream water qualities and the interaction between water quality indexes can be mined, and the defect that a traditional water quality prediction model is difficult to explain can be overcome.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of water quality forecasting, in particular to a river water quality forecasting method taking into account time-space correlation and meteorological factors. Background technique [0002] In recent years, water eco-environmental problems have seriously threatened the sustainable development of my country's economy and the safety of domestic water for urban residents. Building a high-precision water quality prediction model is conducive to understanding the internal change rules and temporal and spatial evolution trends of river water quality. Prevention provides the basis for decision-making. [0003] At present, many scholars have studied the methods of water quality index prediction, but there are still the following deficiencies: 1. These existing prediction methods are limited to single-site prediction, ignoring the influence of upstream water quality on the downstream water quality change trend; 2. Diff...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06K9/62G06N3/04G06N3/08G06Q50/26
CPCG06Q10/04G06N3/049G06N3/08G06Q50/26G06N3/044G06N3/045G06F18/241Y02A20/152
Inventor 卢毅敏张红
Owner FUZHOU UNIV
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