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Power Grid Load Forecasting Method and System Based on Neural Network and Dynamic Mode Decomposition

A technology of power grid load and dynamic mode, applied in the direction of biological neural network model, neural learning method, prediction, etc., can solve the problems of poor prediction accuracy of power grid load data, failure to consider the fluctuation of power grid load, low robustness, etc., and achieve cost Low, predictive accuracy and robustness, strong implementation effect

Active Publication Date: 2022-02-22
NANTONG HONGDA EXPERIMENT INSTR
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  • Summary
  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0004] None of the above prediction methods take into account the fluctuation of grid load, which is generated by many driving factors, such as different weather, seasonal conditions, holidays, work cycles, and fluctuations in economic nature, etc. The data generated by these factors have subtle time pattern, leading to poor prediction accuracy and low robustness of grid load data

Method used

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  • Power Grid Load Forecasting Method and System Based on Neural Network and Dynamic Mode Decomposition
  • Power Grid Load Forecasting Method and System Based on Neural Network and Dynamic Mode Decomposition
  • Power Grid Load Forecasting Method and System Based on Neural Network and Dynamic Mode Decomposition

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Embodiment 1

[0056] The application environment of the embodiment of the present invention: different weather, seasonal conditions, holidays, work cycles, and economic fluctuations, etc., the data generated by these factors have subtle time patterns, which will lead to deviations in grid load forecasting, making the forecasting results accurate The degree is not high and the stability is low.

[0057] Such as figure 1 As shown, this embodiment provides a grid load forecasting method based on neural network and dynamic mode decomposition, which specifically includes the following steps:

[0058] Step 1: Obtain the original power grid load data through observation data.

[0059] Step 2: According to the Cover theorem, the original grid load data is expressed in a linear model in the delayed coordinate space, and the sliding window sampling is performed on the original grid load data in the delayed coordinate space to construct a sliding window matrix. The specific construction method is as...

Embodiment 2

[0120] Such as figure 2 As shown, this embodiment provides a grid load forecasting system based on neural network and dynamic mode decomposition, the system includes a raw data acquisition module, a raw data processing module, a sliding window matrix building block, a grid load linear model building block, and a singular index Time series and multifractal spectrum time series building block, time series forecasting neural network training module, power grid load forecasting model building block and power grid load data forecasting module.

[0121] The original data acquisition module is used to obtain the original grid load data.

[0122] The original data processing module is used to transform the original grid load data into high-dimensional space to obtain high-dimensional grid load data.

[0123] The sliding window matrix construction module is used to perform sliding window sampling on high-dimensional power grid load data to construct a sliding window matrix;

[0124]...

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Abstract

The invention relates to a grid load forecasting method and system based on neural network and dynamic mode decomposition. The method includes collecting original grid load data, processing the original grid load data and constructing a sliding window matrix, using SVD and DMD to analyze the sliding window matrix Decompose and build a linear model of power grid load; construct a time series sequence of the sliding window corresponding to the power grid load value, perform fluctuation decomposition on the time series sequence of the sliding window corresponding to the power grid load value, and obtain the singular exponential time series and multifractal corresponding to the three decomposition factors of the time series Spectrum time-series sequence; conduct time-series forecasting neural network training; combine the grid load linear model and the charge deviation data output by the time-series forecasting neural network to obtain the grid load forecasting model, and predict the grid load data through the grid load forecasting model; this method is better than the existing Technology has a more explainable algorithmic structure and can detect anomalous events.

Description

technical field [0001] The present invention relates to the technical field of artificial intelligence forecasting, in particular to a grid load forecasting method and system based on neural network and dynamic mode decomposition. Background technique [0002] The total load of the power system is the sum of the total power consumed by all electrical equipment in the system; it is the sum of the power consumed by industry, agriculture, post and telecommunications, transportation, municipal, commercial, and urban and rural residents to obtain the comprehensive power load of the power system; The comprehensive power load plus network loss is the power supplied by each power plant in the system, which is called the power supply load of the power system for short; The power that the generator should generate is called the power generation load of the system, that is, the power generation capacity. Power load forecasting is an important part of power management, and the load for...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Patents(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/06G06N3/08G06N3/04
CPCG06Q10/04G06N3/08G06Q50/06G06N3/045Y04S10/50
Inventor 段美丽杨旭虹
Owner NANTONG HONGDA EXPERIMENT INSTR