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Method and device for predicting SAGD yield

A technology of production prediction and prediction method, which is applied in the directions of measurement, earthwork drilling and production, wellbore/well components, etc. It can solve the problem of fineness of influence, difficulty in establishing a full reservoir model, and difficulty in accurately describing the formation of three-field changes. Expansion failure and other issues to achieve the effect of improving reliability

Pending Publication Date: 2022-05-06
PETROCHINA CO LTD
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  • Abstract
  • Description
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AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0003] Some achievements have been made in the existing research on recovery factor prediction, and industry standards have been formulated. However, among the methods in the industry standards, only the reservoir numerical simulation method is suitable for the prediction of SAGD recovery factor, and its certainty and reliability depend on The accuracy of reservoir geological modeling and history matching needs to meet two conditions: the verification of the geological model’s mining dynamic history fitting, and the support of development plans or development concept design. At the same time, the computing power and computing time of software and hardware are also limited. The size of the model is determined, and the network step size affects its fineness, which makes it difficult to establish a full reservoir model, or to describe the whole process of three field changes and vapor chamber formation, expansion and depletion more accurately, which has certain limitations.

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  • Method and device for predicting SAGD yield
  • Method and device for predicting SAGD yield
  • Method and device for predicting SAGD yield

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Embodiment 1

[0059] The first embodiment of the present invention provides a method for predicting SAGD yield, such as figure 1 shown, including:

[0060] S101, obtaining a well pattern combination mode of the target oil reservoir, and determining a production prediction model of the target oil reservoir based on the well pattern combination mode;

[0061] S102, based on the output prediction model, determine the node data of each stage of the output change;

[0062] S103, based on the node data of each stage of the production change, predict the average daily oil production of each stage;

[0063] S104, based on the average daily oil production of each stage and the node data of each stage, predict the total oil production of the target oil reservoir in a preset time period.

[0064] In a specific embodiment, an appropriate yield prediction model needs to be selected. Therefore, it is currently necessary to establish a set of perfect reservoir engineering theory for SAGD technology. On...

Embodiment 2

[0195] Based on the same inventive concept, the present invention also provides a prediction device of SAGD output, such as Figure 10 shown, including:

[0196] The obtaining module 1001 is used to obtain the well pattern combination mode of the target oil reservoir, and determine the production prediction model of the target oil reservoir based on the well pattern combination mode;

[0197] A determining module 1002, configured to determine node data at each stage of output change based on the output forecast model;

[0198] The first prediction module 1003 is used to predict the average daily oil production of each stage based on the node data of each stage of the production change;

[0199] The second prediction module 1004 is configured to predict the total oil production of the target oil reservoir in a preset time period based on the average daily oil production of each stage and the node data of each stage.

[0200] In an optional implementation manner, it also inclu...

Embodiment 3

[0226] Based on the same inventive concept, an embodiment of the present invention provides a computer device, such as Figure 11 As shown, it includes a memory 1104, a processor 1102, and a computer program stored in the memory 1104 and executable on the processor 1102, and the processor 1102 implements the steps of the above-described SAGD yield prediction method when executing the program.

[0227] Among them, in Figure 11 In the bus architecture (represented by bus 1100 ), which may include any number of interconnected buses and bridges, bus 1100 will include one or more processors represented by processors 1102 and various types of memory represented by memory 804 circuits are linked together. The bus 1100 may also link together various other circuits, such as peripherals, voltage regulators, and power management circuits, etc., which are well known in the art and, therefore, will not be described further herein. Bus interface 1106 provides an interface between bus 110...

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Abstract

The invention relates to the technical field of oil reservoir yield prediction, in particular to an SAGD yield prediction method and device, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining a well pattern combination mode of a target oil reservoir, and determining a yield prediction model of the target oil reservoir based on the well pattern combination mode; determining node data of each stage of yield change based on the yield prediction model; predicting the average daily oil production of each stage based on the node data of each stage of yield change; based on the average daily oil production of each stage and the node data of each stage, the total oil production of the target oil reservoir in the preset time period is predicted, the oil production of each stage is predicted, the change trend of the oil production of each stage is different, so that the prediction result of the total oil production in the preset time period is obtained, and the reliability of the prediction result is improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of oil reservoir production prediction, in particular to a method and device for predicting SAGD production. Background technique [0002] The recovery factor is the most important comprehensive index to measure the development effect and level of the oilfield. The current prediction method is mainly the static method, which can only be applied to new areas and units with a short production time. The dynamic method is better than the static method. It can be applied in the middle and later stages of development. [0003] Some achievements have been made in the existing research on recovery rate prediction, and industry standards have been formulated, but only the reservoir numerical simulation method is suitable for the prediction of SAGD recovery rate, and its certainty and reliability depend on The accuracy of reservoir geological modeling and history matching needs to meet two conditions: the verificatio...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): E21B47/00
CPCE21B47/00
Inventor 王飞宇刘勇张俊杰刘慧茹叶锋李晓漫刘生平刘旭李鑫李秀明韩冰曾宪红蒋雪易文博
Owner PETROCHINA CO LTD