The invention discloses an accelerated degradation credibility evaluation method based on KL
divergence, and relates to the technical field of
reliability engineering and
life evaluation, and the method comprises the steps: selecting a performance degradation model and an acceleration model which are adaptive according to a product degradation mechanism, constructing an accelerated degradation model, and extrapolating the accelerated degradation model to
model prediction distribution of degradation amount under an actual working condition; collecting actual measurement data of the degradation amount of the product under an actual working condition, selecting typical probability distribution as an alternative model, and selecting the alternative model with the maximum log-likelihood function value as actual measurement fitting distribution of the degradation amount; and realizing credibility evaluation of the accelerated
degradation test based on the
statistical difference between the
model prediction distribution and the actual measurement fitting distribution of the KL
divergence measurement degradation amount. Therefore, by adopting the accelerated degradation credibility evaluation method based on the KL
divergence, the problem that a credibility evaluation index of a traditional accelerated
degradation test is insensitive to distribution
tail differences is solved, and a quantitative basis is provided for correcting an accelerated degradation model and improving extrapolation accuracy.