The invention discloses a
model method of a
traffic prediction. The method comprises the following steps of: (1) establishing a
road traffic basic facility geographical information
database, storing and updating
traffic planning schemes, and establishing intersection
delay determination; (2) establishing an
urban planning construction geographical information
database, storing regulatory detailed plans of each area, and utilizing an original unit method to construct traffic generation cases; (3) calling data of the
road traffic basic facility geographical information
database and the
urban planning construction geographical information database, and utilizing a gravity
model method to predict parallel distributed matrixes; (4) constructing a multi-element
logit model, and determining the probability distribution for a single person selecting a travelling mode in specific travelling information; and (5) utilizing a capacity-limited multi-path
distribution method to carry out traffic distribution. The modeling purpose, method to realization are overall planed, modeling parameter selection, basic data sources and calculation program design are coordinated, and the convenient application and operation of a
traffic prediction model system are ensured.