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Wheat aphid quantity forecasting method and system based on human being evolution gene expression programming

A prediction method and expression technology, applied in electrical digital data processing, special data processing applications, instruments, etc., can solve the problems of poor model generalization ability, slow convergence speed, and low prediction accuracy.

Inactive Publication Date: 2015-05-06
XI'AN UNIVERSITY OF ARCHITECTURE AND TECHNOLOGY
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  • Summary
  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

However, in practical applications, it is found that when the traditional gene expression programming algorithm is applied to the population prediction of the wheat aphid, it has the disadvantages of slow convergence speed and easy to fall into local optimum, which leads to low prediction accuracy and poor model generalization ability.

Method used

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  • Wheat aphid quantity forecasting method and system based on human being evolution gene expression programming
  • Wheat aphid quantity forecasting method and system based on human being evolution gene expression programming
  • Wheat aphid quantity forecasting method and system based on human being evolution gene expression programming

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Embodiment

[0097] Following the above-mentioned technical scheme, the method for predicting the number of wheat aphids based on human evolutionary gene expression programming of the present invention specifically includes the following steps:

[0098] Step 1: Collect N time points to investigate the field meteorological conditions and population dynamics of the wheat aphid. N can be set to 13-21 to obtain field survey data for the establishment of the wheat aphid population model. Select the key influencing factors in the field survey data: daily maximum temperature, daily average temperature, daily precipitation, wheat growth stage, the number of natural enemies of wheat aphid, and the total amount of wheat aphid, as the sample data for modeling, recorded as a matrix A, matrix A is a matrix with N rows and 6 columns; let the i-th row in matrix A be recorded as A i , i=1~N, its value is the above 6 sample data at the i-th time point, namely: daily maximum temperature (Celsius), daily ave...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a wheat aphid quantity forecasting method and system based on human being evolution gene expression programming. The method is characterized in that the rouging operation is adopted to repair an inferior individual or infeasible individual generated in the natural evolution and to convert the inferior individual or infeasible individual into a feasible individual, the optimizing operation is adopted to enable high-quality gene fragments in a high-quality gene pool to be dispersed in a population, so that the quality of the individual in the population can be effectively improved, and the rate of convergence of the algorithm can be accelerated; the population intervention is adopted to solve the premature convergence phenomenon caused by the loss of diversity of the population in the natural evolution process, the novel feasible individual which is randomly generated in the population and a mirror individual which is generated in a mirror mapping manner and is large in difference are used for substituting the poor individual of the same quantity, so that the diversity of the population is increased, and the global optimizing capacity of the algorithm can be effectively improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to a method and system for predicting the population quantity of wheat aphids, in particular to a method and system for predicting the quantity of wheat aphids based on human evolutionary gene expression programming. Background technique [0002] Wheat tube aphid is a common pest in various wheat producing areas in my country. It not only eats away wheat nutrition and affects photosynthesis, but also spreads wheat viruses, which leads to a sharp decrease in wheat yield and quality, and seriously threatens wheat production. Doing a good job in predicting the occurrence of the wheat aphid population is an effective measure to prevent and control the wheat aphid disaster and reduce the use of pesticides. However, the population reproduction rate of the wheat aphid is high, the generations overlap, and a variety of wheat aphids are mixed in different ecological wheat regions, but the occurrence regularity, ecological habits, host rang...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06F19/20
Inventor 王超学张婧菁吴书玲
Owner XI'AN UNIVERSITY OF ARCHITECTURE AND TECHNOLOGY
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