A travel time prediction method based on multi-modal data fusion and multi-model integration

A technology of travel time and data fusion, applied in forecasting, data processing applications, electronic digital data processing, etc., can solve the problem of difficult to obtain accurate prediction results of travel time

Active Publication Date: 2019-04-23
NANJING UNIV OF POSTS & TELECOMM
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Problems solved by technology

[0005] Purpose of the invention: There are many complex situations in the travel time prediction problem. In order to overcome the deficiencies in the prior art, the present invention provides a travel time prediction method based on multi-modal data fusion and multi-model integration to solve the problem of arbitrary origin and destination in cities. The problem that it is difficult to obtain accurate prediction results for the travel time of the point itinerary

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  • A travel time prediction method based on multi-modal data fusion and multi-model integration
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  • A travel time prediction method based on multi-modal data fusion and multi-model integration

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[0066] The present invention will be further described below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings.

[0067] Such as figure 1 Shown is a travel time prediction method based on multimodal data fusion and multi-model integration, which mainly includes the following steps:

[0068] a. Multimodal data preprocessing

[0069] Because this method ignores the trajectory points during the journey, it is first necessary to use the itinerary extraction algorithm to preprocess the GPS trajectory data of the taxi, mainly including the correction of abnormal trajectory points and the extraction of valid itineraries according to the passenger status bits;

[0070] b. Feature subvector extraction and feature fusion

[0071] Travel time is affected by multiple factors. This method uses the feature vector extraction module to extract corresponding feature subvectors from taxi trajectory data, weather data, driver portrait data and other fields and perform feature splicing;

[0072] c...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a travel time prediction method based on multi-modal data fusion and multi-model integration. The travel time prediction method comprises a multi-modal data preprocessing module which extracts taxi travel data from taxi GPS track data according to the passenger carrying state; a multi-modal data analysis, feature extraction and feature fusion module which is used for extracting corresponding feature sub-vectors from the fields of taxi track data, weather data, driver portrait data and the like and completing feature splicing; and a multi-model integration module which is used for respectively establishing a gradient improvement decision tree model and a deep neural network model, and integrating prediction results of the models by using the decision tree model. According to the travel time prediction method, by fusing the multi-modal data such as taxi track data, weather data and driver portrait data, the factors influencing travel time are fully extracted and mined, and an integrated model based on a decision tree is established, so that higher travel time prediction accuracy is obtained at lower calculation cost.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to a travel time prediction method based on multi-modal data fusion and multi-model integration, and belongs to the technical field of intelligent traffic information processing. Background technique [0002] Travel time prediction is a critical, complex, and challenging problem in Intelligent Traffic Systems (ITS) and location-based services. Traffic regulators can indirectly understand changes in urban flow through travel time. Real-time travel time prediction and prompts can also alleviate traffic congestion to a certain extent. Travel time estimation provides effective decision support for traffic flow control in ITS. Travel time prediction is also an important module of map navigation and travel service software, such as Baidu Maps, Didi Chuxing, etc. People can reasonably arrange and plan their travel activities through travel time estimation. [0003] Current travel time prediction methods can be divided into two types: se...

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06F17/50G06Q10/04
CPCG06Q10/04G06F30/20
Inventor 邹志强杨浩宇吴家皋蔡韬王兴源
Owner NANJING UNIV OF POSTS & TELECOMM
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