The invention discloses a commutation
branch tower wind disaster
vulnerability evaluation method considering material parameter variation, which comprises the following steps of: during calculation of a wind-induced response of a commutation
branch tower, considering a variation rule of various
structural material parameters by using sampling operation, and learning a relationship between a mean value and a standard deviation of a
wind speed and a structural demand index by using an intelligent prediction model; and finally, predicting the surpassing probability of the structure under a series of
wind speed values, and forming a comprehensive wind disaster
vulnerability result considering multi-structure material parameter variation. According to the method, more accurate beyond
probability assessment is provided on the basis of the existing
power transmission tower wind damage vulnerability assessment, and more uncertainty risks are considered. The uncertainty of various variation parameters is considered in a random sampling mode, the calculation amount is reduced, the quantitative relation between the
wind speed and the override probability and the relation between the wind speed and the various material parameters and the override probability are obtained through the intelligent prediction model, and under the specified wind speed, the calculation amount is reduced, and the calculation efficiency is improved. The override probability can be calculated more quickly through the intelligent prediction model, a vulnerability curve or curved surface under multiple wind speeds is obtained, and the analysis efficiency is greatly improved.