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Traffic data prediction method and system

A traffic and data set technology, applied in traffic control systems, traffic control systems of road vehicles, traffic flow detection, etc., can solve problems such as forgetting important information and inability to perform parallel calculations

Active Publication Date: 2021-05-11
TSINGHUA UNIV
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  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

Use the cyclic neural network for timing prediction, but the cyclic neural network may forget some important information when learning a long sequence, and it cannot be calculated in parallel

Method used

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  • Traffic data prediction method and system
  • Traffic data prediction method and system
  • Traffic data prediction method and system

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Experimental program
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Embodiment approach

[0063] As a preferred embodiment, step S2 includes the following steps:

[0064] Determine the adjacency matrix between the road sections according to the road network information, the adjacency matrix describes whether the two road sections are adjacent, and the adjacency is that the minimum number of road sections that need to pass between the two road sections is less than a predetermined value K;

[0065] Constructing speed dimension data based on the vehicle speed information of each road section at a predetermined time interval;

[0066] Calculate the attention score of a road section to the current road section based on the adjacency matrix and speed dimension data between the road sections;

[0067] Regularize the attention score with a function;

[0068] The regularized attention score is used as the weight, and the speed dimension data of the current road segment is used to calculate the speed prediction feature value of the current road segment.

[0069] The detai...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a traffic speed prediction method. The method comprises the following steps of acquiring a data set including road network information and vehicle speed information; extracting spatial correlation of K-order adjacent road sections in the road network by using a graph attention mechanism, and outputting a vehicle speed feature matrix V (K) of each road section; and using a time convolution network to learn a time rule of V(K), outputting a time sequence feature matrix, using a multi-head self-attention mechanism to learn a coupling relation between the feature matrixes, and outputting the coupling relation. According to the invention, the graph attention mechanism and the time convolution network are used to extract space dependence and time dependence; and the multi-head self-attention mechanism is introduced to extract a space-time coupling effect, and the multi-head self-attention mechanism can learn information from different representation subspaces at different positions so that the time information of a traffic flow can be captured, and higher prediction precision can be realized.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention is suitable for the technical field of intelligent transportation and data processing, and in particular relates to a traffic data prediction method and system. Background technique [0002] Traffic condition prediction is an essential component in traffic modeling, operation and management. Unreasonable guidance when the traffic flow is large may lead to problems such as traffic jams and traffic accidents. High-accuracy traffic speed prediction plays an important role in intelligent transportation system (ITS) applications, such as alleviating urban traffic problems, improving urban transportation efficiency, helping travelers make better route planning and departure timing, dynamic traffic signals optimization and ramp control, etc. The methods of traffic speed prediction can be mainly divided into two categories: classical statistical models and machine learning methods. [0003] Most classical statistical models are based on some a...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G08G1/01G08G1/052G06N3/04G06N3/08
CPCG08G1/0125G08G1/0137G08G1/052G06N3/084G06N3/047G06N3/045
Inventor 李萌张珂林犀郭娅明张正超
Owner TSINGHUA UNIV
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