The invention relates to the technical field of gas reservoir dynamic analysis, in particular to a gas
reservoir water invasion degree prediction method based on early production dynamics, which comprises the following steps of: dividing a gas
reservoir water invasion degree grading graph, and calculating and determining gas reservoir dynamic geological reserves through a Blasingame method and
linear regression according to gas reservoir production dynamics data; then, the dimensionless apparent pressure PFD and the
recovery degree Rg of the closed gas reservoir are calculated, a PFD-Rg relation scatter diagram of the gas reservoir is drawn, and
analysis data points in the PFD-Rg relation scatter diagram of the gas reservoir are evaluated and removed based on the basic characteristic that the energy of the stratum
water body of the elastic water-drive gas reservoir is limited; based on the reserved effective
analysis data points, determining a gas reservoir PFD-Rg relation curve by adopting a
linear regression analysis method; and finally, comparing with a gas
reservoir water invasion degree grading graph to determine the gas reservoir water invasion degree. Through the prediction method, the gas reservoir water invasion degree can be determined when the production data does not reflect the water invasion influence stage, the gas reservoir water invasion damage is weakened, and the gas reservoir
recovery efficiency is improved.