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Analysis method and system based on energy technology supply and demand side response model

An energy technology and energy supply technology, applied in the field of energy technology-based supply and demand side response models, can solve problems such as inability to analyze emission reduction paths, total amount constraints, etc.

Inactive Publication Date: 2021-03-09
南方电网能源发展研究院有限责任公司
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  • Summary
  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

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Problems solved by technology

[0004] The purpose of the present invention is to provide an analysis method based on an energy technology supply-demand side response model. The present invention constructs the energy efficiency database and emission factor database of the target area, and innovatively designs comprehensive supply-side scenarios and demand-side scenarios. Solve the problem that the existing regional model research mostly uses the total amount constraint target and cannot analyze the actual emission reduction path

Method used

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  • Analysis method and system based on energy technology supply and demand side response model
  • Analysis method and system based on energy technology supply and demand side response model
  • Analysis method and system based on energy technology supply and demand side response model

Examples

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no. 1 example

[0029] Such as figure 1 As shown, an analysis method based on an energy technology supply and demand side response model provided by an embodiment of the present invention includes at least the following steps:

[0030] S101. According to the preset TIMES model, simulate the energy supply end technology and energy processing and conversion technology, and build an analysis model of the target region's energy system indicators;

[0031] It should be noted that for step S101, the TIMES model is used as the main body, 2010 is used as the base year of the model, the planning period is 2010-2050, and 5 years is a planning cycle. Various technologies are described for the energy system in the target area from energy extraction, processing and conversion to end use. Fossil energy such as coal, oil, and natural gas, new energy and renewable energy such as nuclear energy, water energy, wind energy, solar energy, and biomass, as well as waste from waste resources are considered. Simul...

no. 2 example

[0055] Such as figure 2 As shown, the analysis system 200 based on the energy technology supply and demand side response model provided by the embodiment of the present invention includes: a model construction module 201, a data acquisition module 202 and a scenario analysis module 203;

[0056] The model building module 201, according to the preset TIMES model, simulates the technology of the energy supply end and the technology of energy processing and conversion, and constructs an analysis model of the energy system index of the target area;

[0057] The data acquisition module 202 is used to obtain the historical energy demand of the target area, predict the medium and long-term energy demand of the target area according to the historical energy demand, and construct the energy efficiency database and emission factor database of the target area;

[0058] The scenario analysis module 203 is used to simulate the set energy supply and demand side change scenarios according t...

no. 3 example

[0062] An embodiment of the present invention also provides a computer terminal device, including: one or more processors;

[0063] a memory, coupled to the processor, for storing one or more programs;

[0064] When the one or more programs are executed by the one or more processors, the one or more processors are made to implement any one of the above analysis methods based on the energy technology supply and demand side response model.

[0065] It should be noted that the processor can be a central processing module (Central Processing Unit, CPU), and can also be other general-purpose processors, digital signal processors (Digital Signal Processor, DSP), application specific integrated circuits (Application Specific Integrated Circuit, ASIC), off-the-shelf programmable Gate array (Field-Programmable GateArray, FPGA) or other programmable logic devices, discrete gate or transistor logic devices, discrete hardware components, etc., the general-purpose processor can be a microp...

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Abstract

The invention discloses an analysis method and system based on an energy technology supply and demand side response model, and the method comprises the steps: simulating the technology of an energy supply end and an energy processing conversion technology according to a preset TIMES model, and constructing an analysis model of an energy system index of a target region; through a scientific prediction technology, predicting to obtain the medium-and-long-term energy demand of the target region, and constructing an energy efficiency database and an emission factor database of the target region; simulating a set energy supply and demand side change scene according to the analysis model, and calculating to obtain an energy supply and demand relationship under different energy supply and demandside change scenes; and according to the energy supply and demand relationship, analyzing to obtain the development direction of the energy system of the target region. According to the method, the energy efficiency database and the emission factor database of the target region are constructed, and the comprehensive supply side scene and demand side scene are innovatively designed, so that the problem that an actual emission reduction path cannot be analyzed due to the fact that an existing region model mostly adopts a total constraint target can be solved.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of energy systems, in particular to a method and system based on a supply-demand side response model of energy technology. Background technique [0002] Energy planning based on energy conservation and emission reduction goals is an interdisciplinary research field in the fields of ecological economy, low-carbon economy, environmental science and energy planning. It aims to build a scientific and systematic energy planning and strategic support system, and use this tool to analyze energy conservation and emission reduction goals The degree of realization, and simulate the comprehensive impact of energy policies on the energy system, so as to propose a technically feasible, cost-optimized, and environmentally sustainable energy development path under the constraints of energy conservation and emission reduction targets. [0003] In the process of summarizing the existing research, the inventors of the present...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q10/06G06Q50/26
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q10/06315G06Q10/06393G06Q10/067G06Q50/26
Inventor 陈晖陈政何耿生王刚李沛杨再敏冷媛
Owner 南方电网能源发展研究院有限责任公司
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