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A method, system, equipment and medium for predicting electricity carbon reduction

A forecasting method and power technology, applied in forecasting, system integration technology, information technology support systems, etc., can solve the problems of inaccurate calculation of emission reductions, failure to consider changes in the penetration rate of renewable energy, etc., to achieve the effect of improving accuracy

Active Publication Date: 2022-03-22
STATE GRID BEIJING ELECTRIC POWER +1
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  • Summary
  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0004] The purpose of the present invention is to provide a method, system, equipment and medium for predicting electricity carbon reduction, which solves the problem that the current calculation of electric energy substitution does not consider the change of regional renewable energy penetration rate, resulting in inaccurate calculation of emission reductions, and then realizes electric energy substitution The economic benefit calculation

Method used

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  • A method, system, equipment and medium for predicting electricity carbon reduction
  • A method, system, equipment and medium for predicting electricity carbon reduction
  • A method, system, equipment and medium for predicting electricity carbon reduction

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Effect test

Embodiment 1

[0066] The present invention provides a method for predicting electricity carbon reduction, comprising the following steps:

[0067] S1. Collect the amount of fossil energy used before electric energy replacement; calculate the electric energy replacement power under isothermal conditions according to the amount of fossil energy used before electric energy replacement;

[0068] S2. Calculation of electric energy substitution conversion rate;

[0069] S3. Predict and output the carbon dioxide emission reduction and economic benefits of electric energy substitution.

[0070] The overall formula is:

[0071]

[0072] The energy replacement thermal efficiency η is taken out separately as a parameter for different scenarios.

[0073] The calculation of electricity carbon conversion coefficient is calculated according to the regional power supply structure, which is more accurate and more adaptable.

[0074] The step S1 electric energy replaces electric quantity calculation, w...

Embodiment 2

[0105] A method for predicting carbon reduction by electricity, changing coal-fired heating to electric heating, the steps are as follows figure 1 shown.

[0106] Step 1: Coal-fired heating means that users in a certain area in winter solve the heating problem in winter by burning coal and burning water for heating, but the pollution caused by coal-fired is relatively large.

[0107] Step 2: Statistics of historical winter heating coal consumption for unit users.

[0108] Step 3: According to the conversion coefficient of major fossil energy into ton of standard coal, calculate the equivalent heat of coal burning per unit user in terms of tons of coal used.

[0109] Step 4: According to the isothermal method, calculate the electricity required to generate the same amount of heat, and the power conversion factor is calculated according to 2.62 tons of standard coal / 10,000 kWh. The conversion efficiency ratio of the relevant electric energy substitution scenario, namely ai, is...

Embodiment 3

[0118] A method for predicting carbon reduction by electricity, changing fuel vehicles to electric vehicles, the steps are as follows figure 1 shown.

[0119] Step 7: The conversion of fuel vehicles to electric vehicles is the replacement of electric energy in the field of oil-to-electricity.

[0120] Step 8: At present, there are mostly electric cars in the society, so the average fuel consumption per 100 kilometers is calculated for cars.

[0121] Step 9: Calculate the fuel oil equivalent heat per 100 kilometers equivalent to the tons of fuel used according to the conversion coefficient of major fossil energy into tons of standard coal.

[0122] Step 10: According to the isothermal method, calculate the electricity required to produce the same amount of heat, and the power conversion factor is calculated according to 2.62 tons of standard coal / 10,000 kWh. The conversion efficiency ratio of the relevant electric energy substitution scenario, namely ai, is not considered in ...

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Abstract

The invention belongs to the technical field of electrical digital data processing, and specifically relates to a method, system, equipment and medium for predicting the amount of carbon reduction in electric power. The method includes: S1, collecting the amount of fossil energy used before replacing electric energy; Quantity of energy, calculation of electric energy substitution electricity under isothermic heat; S2, calculation of electric energy substitution conversion rate according to the thermal efficiency of the electric energy substitution scene; S3, prediction based on primary energy carbon dioxide emissions, same calorific value power carbon dioxide emissions and electric energy substitution conversion rate Electricity replaces CO2 emission reductions and exports them. Through the regional power generation structure, external power receiving structure, electricity consumption and other factors, combined with the electricity carbon calculation model, the electricity carbon conversion coefficient of a certain area is automatically calculated; by multiplying the electricity data and the electricity carbon conversion coefficient, the carbon dioxide emission of coal / fuel oil is compared , to automatically obtain the carbon dioxide emission reduction of electric energy substitution.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the technical field of electric digital data processing, and in particular relates to a method, system, equipment and medium for predicting the carbon reduction amount of electric power. Background technique [0002] As an important bridge for social energy production and consumption transformation, power grid enterprises play a vital role in promoting energy conservation and efficiency improvement in the whole society, and striving to improve the electrification level of terminal consumption. It is necessary to further expand the breadth and depth of electric energy substitution, and promote the electrification of electric vehicles, port shore power, pure electric ships, roads and railways. Deeply tap the potential of industrial production kiln and boiler substitution. Promote electric heating and cooling, and realize the replacement of electric energy in green buildings. Accelerate the construction of rural electrification ...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Patents(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q50/06G06Q10/04G06F30/20G06F17/10
CPCG06Q50/06G06Q10/04G06F17/10G06F30/20Y02E40/70Y02P80/10Y02P90/84Y04S10/50
Inventor 王登政刘兆燕高璐李炳辉李臻陈斌发李晖林凯吕阳代志强赵潇潇郑子洵
Owner STATE GRID BEIJING ELECTRIC POWER