Infectious disease monitoring method and system based on drug selling data

Abstract

The invention discloses an epidemic disease monitoring method and system based on drug selling data, and relates to the field of epidemic situation monitoring. The method comprises the steps of selecting a region to be monitored, and selecting a disease to be predicted; presetting a period, and counting selling data of drugs for treating the disease to be predicted in the region to be monitored within the current period; counting selling data of the drugs for treating the disease to be predicted within the period of time corresponding to the current period, the period of time corresponding tothe previous period of the current period, and the period of time corresponding to the later period of the current period in the historical year; on the basis of the counted selling data of the historical year, calculating the average value of the drug selling data within each period of time in the historical year, and calculating and obtaining a historical limit value on the basis of the averagevalue; comparing the historical limit value with the ratio of the average value to the drug selling data within the current period. The future trend of epidemic diseases can be accurately predicted prospectively.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of epidemic monitoring, in particular to an epidemic monitoring method and system based on drug sales data. Background technique [0002] Effective infectious disease control depends on effective infectious disease surveillance. Infectious disease surveillance is a planned and systematic long-term observation of the occurrence, prevalence and influencing factors of infectious diseases in the population, in order to achieve the purpose of controlling the source of infection, cutting off the transmission route and protecting the susceptible population. The realization of each of the above steps requires It is based on a reasonable analysis of monitoring data. [0003] In the U.S., infectious disease surveillance data are summarized weekly and published in the Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report published by the U.S. CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention). The distribution is described retrospectively. Aft...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0004] After SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome) in 2003, my country invested a lot of resources in the construction of the infectious disease monitoring system. At present, a nationwide infectious disease information reporting network has been built, which can collect nationwide infectious disease monitoring data. However, the content of the collected data is less, mainly the information on the incidence, and lacks detailed information such as environment and social demography; at the same time, due to the existence of missed reports and repeated reports, the quality of the data needs to be further improved. These problems are the statistics of infectious disease surveillance data. Analytics presents challenges

Although the collected infectious disease surveillance data is relatively rich, the use of infectious disease surveillance data in my country is still at the stage of simple description, lacking the use of advanced statistical analysis methods to predict the future epidemic trend of infectious diseases prospectively

Images