Method for evaluating influence of flood on social economy based on coupling model integrated simulation

A coupled model and integrated simulation technology, applied in the field of atmospheric science, can solve the problems of low resolution of output results, neglect of the impact of social and economic development, and the inability of a single land surface hydrological model to effectively evaluate uncertainties, etc.

Active Publication Date: 2020-04-17
CHINA UNIV OF GEOSCIENCES (WUHAN)
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AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

The output of global climate models is of low resolution and does not account for confluence mechanisms
A single land surface hydrological model cannot effectively assess different flow generation and confluence

Method used

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  • Method for evaluating influence of flood on social economy based on coupling model integrated simulation
  • Method for evaluating influence of flood on social economy based on coupling model integrated simulation
  • Method for evaluating influence of flood on social economy based on coupling model integrated simulation

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Embodiment Construction

[0071] Below are specific embodiments of the present invention and in conjunction with accompanying drawing, technical scheme of the present invention is described further, but the present invention is not limited to these embodiments.

[0072] Embodiment Taking the global 1971-2100 as an example, the present invention is further described based on the coupling global climate model-land surface hydrological model-socioeconomic development path model to assess the technical solution of the socioeconomic impact of floods. The examples are used to illustrate the present invention, but are not used to limit the application scope of the present invention, and the subregions or time periods are also applicable.

[0073] The implementation process of the method of the present invention to assess the socioeconomic impact of floods based on the coupled global climate model-land surface hydrological model-socioeconomic development path model is as follows figure 1 As shown, the specific...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a method for evaluating influence of flood on social economy. On the basis of a land surface hydrological model, a global climate mode-land surface hydrological model couplingmodel is established by carrying out numerical experiments of flood process simulation under different production and confluence mechanisms and evaporation mechanisms on the basis of climate conditions simulated under different future temperature rise scenes estimated by a global climate mode, and the global flood process is simulated. According to the method, the space-time resolution of global flood process simulation is improved; possibility is provided for refined evaluation and management of global flood risks; moreover, the method fully considers the social and economic development conditions of different regions under different social and economic development paths while considering different production and confluence mechanisms and evaporation mechanisms in the flood simulation process, and the influence of the flood risk evaluated according to the social and economic development conditions on the social and economic in different regions and different time periods is more scientific and reasonable.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of atmospheric science and technology, in particular to a method for assessing the impact of floods on society and economy based on integrated simulation of coupled models. Background technique [0002] Flood disasters have the characteristics of wide range of influence, strong suddenness, long history, frequent occurrence, great harm and strong seasonality. With the significant improvement of the comprehensive defense capability of flood disasters, the number of deaths from flood disasters in China has shown a significant downward trend. However, with the increase of population and the development of social economy, the economic carrying capacity per unit area and the exposure of infrastructure and material wealth continue to increase, resulting in high economic losses caused by rainstorm and flood disasters. [0003] Flood disaster risk assessment is a hot research issue at present, especially in the context of glo...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06F30/20G06Q10/06G06Q50/26
CPCG06Q10/0635G06Q50/26Y02A10/40Y02A90/10
Inventor 王立诚顾西辉刘剑宇孔冬冬
Owner CHINA UNIV OF GEOSCIENCES (WUHAN)
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