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Transformer state prediction method and device and storage medium

A prediction method and transformer technology, applied in transformer testing, neural learning methods, biological neural network models, etc., to achieve the effects of improving safety, reducing equipment operation risks, and saving operation and maintenance costs

Inactive Publication Date: 2020-09-01
STATE GRID JIANGSU ELECTRIC POWER CO ELECTRIC POWER RES INST +2
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  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

This early warning method is only based on historical monitoring data, and does not combine the status trend of the transformer for prediction

Method used

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  • Transformer state prediction method and device and storage medium
  • Transformer state prediction method and device and storage medium
  • Transformer state prediction method and device and storage medium

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Embodiment Construction

[0027] The technical solution of the present invention will be further introduced below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and specific implementation methods.

[0028] Such as figure 1 As shown, it shows the flow chart of the transformer state prediction method of the present invention, the method includes steps:

[0029] 1. Obtain the historical monitoring data of the state quantities of multiple dimensions of the transformer, perform normalization processing, and normalize the data samples of each dimension to a value between 0 and 1, and use it as a learning sample library for the neural network classifier.

[0030] In this embodiment, the historical monitoring data of the state quantity of the transformer in 8 dimensions are obtained, which are respectively ambient temperature value, load current value, oil leakage value, oil temperature value, partial discharge value, acetylene gas value, hydrogen gas value, and total hydrocarbon concentration value. Normali...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a transformer state prediction method, and the method comprises the steps: building a neural network classifier, taking the state quantity of a normalized transformer as a neural network input element, taking an early warning level as an output element, and carrying out the learning training of a neural network through historical monitoring data; calculating a prediction state quantity of historical detection data by adopting a binary linear regression analysis method; and finally, taking the prediction state quantity of each state quantity as the input of the trained neural network classifier, wherein the early warning level output by the neural network is the early warning level of the transformer at a certain time point in the future. According to the change trend of the early warning level in the future time period, corresponding measures are taken according to the operation and maintenance rules of the power system, and targeted and preventable maintenanceof the transformer is achieved. The invention further discloses a device based on the method and a computer readable storage medium. The method has practical significance in improving the operation safety of the transformer equipment, reducing the operation risk of the equipment and saving the operation and maintenance cost.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of state monitoring and maintenance of power system equipment, in particular to a transformer state prediction method, device and storage medium. Background technique [0002] Transformers are the core equipment in power transmission and transformation of power grids. With the rapid development of power grids, the market demand for power transmission and distribution equipment is generally on the rise, and the number of transformers is increasing rapidly. Once the transformer fails, it will not only affect the power supply of the city, but also cause explosion accidents, and the consequences will be disastrous. The overheating defect is the most important fault of the transformer. [0003] In recent years, the online monitoring technology of power equipment has developed maturely. By installing a variety of sensors in the transformer, various parameters of the transformer can be accurately and comprehensively monitor...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G01R31/62G06N3/08
CPCG01R31/62G06N3/08
Inventor 杨小平陆云才蔚超李建生陶风波刘洋魏旭邓洁清潘建亚谢天喜吴鹏王同磊孙磊林元棣尹康涌吴益明
Owner STATE GRID JIANGSU ELECTRIC POWER CO ELECTRIC POWER RES INST
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