Method and system for predicting scrapped vehicles

A vehicle and predictive model technology, which is applied in the field of forecasting methods and systems for scrapped vehicles, can solve problems such as lag, lack of persuasiveness, and lost marketing opportunities, and achieve precise marketing strategies, increase length and width, and solve lag problems. Effect

Active Publication Date: 2018-05-18
北京中交兴路车联网科技有限公司
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  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

However, the existing prediction methods for scrapped vehicles usually only consider the number of days that the vehicle has not been in operation, and use subjective experience to set the scrapping rules; At the same time, the use of subjective experience to set scrap rules also led to the prediction results being too subjective and not convincing, and there was a certain lag problem

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  • Method and system for predicting scrapped vehicles
  • Method and system for predicting scrapped vehicles

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Embodiment 1

[0060] According to an embodiment of the present invention, a method for predicting scrapped vehicles is provided, such as figure 1 shown, including:

[0061] Step 101: extracting the characteristic information of each vehicle from the trajectory data of each vehicle within the first preset time period;

[0062] Preferably, in the present invention, each vehicle is equipped with an on-board device, and the on-board device reports the track data of the corresponding vehicle every preset time interval (for example, 30 seconds); wherein, the track data includes but is not limited to: a series of position data and driving speed;

[0063] In this embodiment, before step 101, it also includes: preprocessing the trajectory data of each vehicle within the first preset time period;

[0064] Specifically, the following operations are performed on the track data of each vehicle in the first preset time period:

[0065] Filter the wrong data in the trajectory data;

[0066] Correct th...

Embodiment 2

[0104] According to an embodiment of the present invention, a prediction system for scrapped vehicles is provided, such as figure 2 shown, including:

[0105] The extraction module 201 is used to extract the characteristic information of each vehicle from the trajectory data of each vehicle within the first preset time period;

[0106] A generating module 202, configured to generate training samples according to the feature information of each vehicle extracted by the extracting module 201 and the preset scrapped vehicle standard;

[0107] A division module 203, for dividing the training sample generated by the generation module 202 into a training set and a test set;

[0108] The training module 204 is used to train the prediction model according to the training set divided by the division module 203;

[0109] The test module 205 is used to test the prediction model trained by the training module by adopting the test set divided by the division module 203;

[0110] The pr...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a method and a system for predicting scrapped vehicles, which belong to the field of intelligent traffic big data. The method includes the following steps: extracting the characteristic information of vehicles from the track data of vehicles in a first preset time period; generating training samples according to the characteristic information of vehicles and a preset vehicle scrapping standard, and dividing the training samples into a training set and a testing set; training a prediction model according to the training set, and using the testing set to test the prediction model; and using the tested prediction model to predict scrapped vehicles in the future. In the invention, the prediction model is trained based on the historical track data of vehicles in a certain period, and the prediction model and the prediction result obtained finally are more scientific and reliable. Meanwhile, the operation rules of vehicles before scrapping are found out by combining the method with machine learning, and the problem of lagging in the prior art is solved. The vehicle manufacturers can also determine the marketing strategies more accurately.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of intelligent transportation big data, in particular to a method and system for predicting scrapped vehicles. Background technique [0002] With the rapid development of social economy, both private cars and logistics transport vehicles are growing at an exponential rate; various vehicle manufacturers are also constantly producing and selling vehicles of various brands, functions, and sizes . For vehicle manufacturers, knowing the needs of car buyers in a timely manner can make them produce more popular vehicles; at the same time, it is also important for vehicle manufacturers to be able to predict the scrapped vehicles on the market in a timely manner, so as to clarify marketing needs. equally important. However, the existing prediction methods for scrapped vehicles usually only consider the number of days that the vehicle has not been in operation, and use subjective experience to set the scrapping rules; At the...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/26G06K9/62
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/26G06F18/214
Inventor 黄智勇
Owner 北京中交兴路车联网科技有限公司
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