Shopping mall building air conditioner cooling load prediction method based on GBDT, storage medium and equipment

A forecasting method and load forecasting technology, which is applied in forecasting, complex mathematical operations, biological neural network models, etc., can solve the problems of deep neural network requiring a large amount of data training and low differentiation of cooling load distribution, and achieve data reliability, The effect of solving forecast errors and improving forecast accuracy

Pending Publication Date: 2020-11-27
XI'AN UNIVERSITY OF ARCHITECTURE AND TECHNOLOGY
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Problems solved by technology

[0004] The technical problem to be solved by the present invention is to provide a shopping mall building air-conditioning cooling load prediction method, storage medium and equipment based on the gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) for the above-mentioned deficiencies in the prior art, which overcomes the limitations of the SVR model on working days, The disadvantage of low discrimination of cooling load distribution during holidays effectively solves the problem that the deep neural network needs a large amount of data training

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  • Shopping mall building air conditioner cooling load prediction method based on GBDT, storage medium and equipment
  • Shopping mall building air conditioner cooling load prediction method based on GBDT, storage medium and equipment
  • Shopping mall building air conditioner cooling load prediction method based on GBDT, storage medium and equipment

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Embodiment Construction

[0051] The present invention provides a method for forecasting cooling load of shopping mall building air-conditioning based on gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT). First, the original data is collected. The original data set includes outdoor dry-bulb temperature, relative humidity, solar radiation, wind speed, and hourly cooling load. Data; analyze the influencing factors of air-conditioning energy consumption in shopping malls, that is, conduct Pearson analysis on the current cooling load of the building and the historical cooling load of the building, outdoor dry bulb temperature, relative humidity, solar radiation, and wind speed, and filter the input of the cooling load prediction model Features; before model training and prediction, the input features are normalized. Here, the 0-mean normalization method is used to normalize the input features; the initial model is established according to the sample set, and then the loss function Construct a CART regression tree in t...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a shopping mall building air conditioner cooling load prediction method based on GBDT, a storage medium and equipment, and the method comprises: collecting cooling load data, and carrying out the normalization processing to serve as the cooling load energy consumption prediction; establishing a load prediction model based on a gradient lifting decision tree algorithm; inputting the preprocessed data into a prediction model for training, selecting a grid search-cross validation mode, and optimizing the three hyper-parameters with the maximum influence on the performanceof the GBDT model; establishing a final cold load prediction model by completing parameter optimization of the prediction model, and obtaining a predicted cold load curve according to the parameters and the structure of the prediction model; and evaluating the prediction performance of the prediction model, adopting the prediction error for evaluation, enabling the deviation between the true valueand the prediction value to form the prediction error, and completing mall building air conditioner cooling load prediction. The method has good prediction precision, universality and applicability,and is especially suitable for large public buildings with periodically changing cold loads.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the technical field of forecasting cooling load of air conditioners in shopping malls, and in particular relates to a method, storage medium and equipment for forecasting cooling loads of air conditioners in shopping malls based on a gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT). Background technique [0002] The proportion of building energy consumption in my country's energy consumption is getting higher and higher, rising from 10% in the late 1970s to 28% at present, and it is becoming the main source of consumption in my country's urban production and life. The total annual energy consumption of various types of large public buildings in my country is about twice that of similar buildings in developed countries. Therefore, how to control the growth of building energy consumption and realize the energy-saving design of new buildings while ensuring people's building use needs is of great significance. Accurate load forecasting is h...

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06K9/62G06N3/00G06N3/04G06Q10/04G06F17/18
CPCG06Q10/04G06F17/18G06N3/006G06N3/045G06F18/214G06F18/24323
Inventor 于军琪周昕玮赵安军周敏张万虎张娜
Owner XI'AN UNIVERSITY OF ARCHITECTURE AND TECHNOLOGY
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