Global ionosphere TEC model forecasting method and system
A forecasting system and ionospheric technology, applied in forecasting, electrical digital data processing, data processing applications, etc., can solve problems such as immature distribution model algorithms, and achieve the effect of simple models and strong operability
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Embodiment 1
[0039] A global ionospheric TEC model forecasting method provided in the embodiment uses fast Fourier transform to extract the periodic term of the global ionospheric TEC model spherical harmonic coefficient time series, and uses trigonometric series function to fit and estimate the spherical harmonic coefficients , to predict the short-term spherical harmonic coefficients, and then generate a global forecast ionospheric TEC model based on the predicted spherical harmonic coefficients. The data processing procedure of the present invention is as figure 1 shown. A kind of global ionospheric TEC model prediction method provided by the embodiment, the realization mode comprises the following steps:
[0040] Step 1, extract periodic items according to the global ionospheric model spherical harmonic coefficient time series, and select periodic items with specific physical meanings.
[0041] Read the spherical harmonic function model ION file and generate the spherical harmonic fu...
Embodiment 2
[0087] On the basis of Embodiment 1, in step 1, the periodic term of the time series of ionospheric spherical harmonic coefficients is extracted by fast Fourier transform.
[0088] For each spherical harmonic coefficient, fast Fourier transform is performed one by one to analyze its amplitude spectrum. According to the properties of the amplitude spectrum, periodic terms with typical physical meanings are selected. According to the characteristics of periodic items, different time scales need to be divided, such as annual cycle, daily cycle and sub-day cycle. The data processing flow chart of extracting periodic items according to the fast Fourier transform is as follows: figure 2 As shown in , the spherical harmonic coefficients are input, and then the fast Fourier transform is used to output the timing diagram of the correlation between the amplitude and the period, and a typical period item is selected according to the amplitude.
Embodiment 3
[0090] On the basis of embodiment 1, in step 2, the spherical harmonic function coefficients are decomposed into trend items and random signal items, and the trend items of the spherical harmonic function coefficients are fitted using trigonometric series functions.
[0091] The research shows that the coefficients of spherical harmonics not only have periodic variation characteristics, but also have random variation characteristics. The spherical harmonic function coefficient is decomposed into a trend item and a random signal part, the fitted part is expressed as a filtered signal, and the extrapolated part is expressed as an estimated new number, and its formula is expressed as:
[0092] L=AX+S+OS'+Δ
[0093] In the formula, L represents the observation vector, AX represents the system component, A represents the design matrix, X represents the tendency parameter, S represents the filtered signal, S′ represents the estimated signal, Δ represents the observed noise, O repres...
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