Wind power prediction method and system based on image generation
A wind power prediction and image generation technology, applied in the field of wind power, can solve problems such as restricting development, insufficient historical data, and easy to be affected by external factors, and achieve high reliability
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Embodiment 1
[0040] Wind power ramp refers to the rapid change of power in a short period of time under the influence of extreme weather in the wind farm. It seriously threatens the stable operation and construction energy quality of the power grid. Such as image 3 As shown, the ramp events are divided into two categories: up ramp and down ramp according to the direction of power change. When weather such as hurricanes and showers occurs, the output power of the wind farm increases rapidly, which is an upslope event. When the wind turbine stops running on land, the output power of the wind farm drops rapidly, which is a downhill event. This paper conducts qualitative and quantitative analysis on ramping events, summarizes commonly used forecasting and evaluation indicators, and lays a theoretical foundation for the research of wind power ramping power prediction method based on GAN. Such as figure 1 As shown, the present invention proposes a wind power prediction method based on image...
Embodiment 2
[0069] In order to better understand the technical content of the present invention, this embodiment illustrates the present invention in the form of a system structure, such as figure 2 As shown, a wind power prediction system based on image generation, including:
[0070] The feature extraction module is used to normalize the historical wind power climbing image group, and extract the normalized image feature set according to the climbing characteristics;
[0071] Generate a confrontation network, which is used to generate a simulated wind power ramp image according to the combination of any image feature in the image feature set and the combination of the historical wind power ramp image;
[0072] Generate a confrontation network, which is also used to conduct discriminative training on historical wind power ramp images and simulated wind power ramp images under the total loss constraint, and obtain wind power ramp training image groups through the wind power ramp training...
Embodiment 3
[0077] In order to verify the effectiveness of the proposed wind power ramp-up power prediction model based on the generative confrontation network, this embodiment takes a specific verification experiment as an example, through the method described in the present invention, on a wind power data set in a certain area in Northwest China verify. Preprocess the historical climbing data to remove redundant information.
[0078] The data samples of slope climbing events in wind farms in recent years are selected for experiments. In order to ensure the number of climbing sample data and obtain a reasonable wind power prediction data set, the input data set of the model is Figure 4 The steps of are divided into the following parts: the sample wind power climbing data set is fed to the generative adversarial network, and the generator generates new climbing images. The original image and the generated image are used together as the input sample set (including 10% historical trainin...
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