The invention provides an AIRPORTP Symmetry Model (ASM)-based flight delay prediction and propagation analysis method. According to the method, first, to solve the delay prediction problem, an MNR model is constructed by using information like flight message data, airplane departure time at a previous station, an airplane model, and whether a VIP is on the airplane, so as to predict flight arrivaltime; second, to solve the delay propagation problem, a delay propagation symmetry model ASM is constructed by using MPM, the concept of deformation gradient is defined, if the deformation gradient is less than zero, the flight is not affected by delay, or, the flight is delayed due to factors or the flight or external factors; and finally, if the flight is affected, MNR is improved based on theASM model, a transmission factor is introduced for each parameter of the MNR model so as to analyze delay propagation, flight delay time is updated in real time based on propagation analysis, an arrival delay equation can be updated in real time, the delay propagation problem is considered thoroughly, the obtained result is more accurate, and calculation is faster.