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Optimization method for site selection of gas detection and alarm equipment in refinery unit considering conditional risk value

A technology for oil refining units and conditional risk, which is applied in the field of site selection and optimization of gas detection and alarm instruments in oil refining units, and can solve the problems of small occurrence probability, risk reduction, and failure to establish a scene real-time consequence representation model.

Active Publication Date: 2017-08-01
CHINA UNIV OF PETROLEUM (EAST CHINA)
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Problems solved by technology

[0005] Second, in the actual production process, the gas leakage detection and alarm instrument is not ideal, and there are false alarms and no alarms
[0006] Third, the scene consequences are represented by the detection time, and the real-time consequence representation model of the scene has not been established
However, there will be a long-tail distribution of scenario consequences, that is, due to the low probability of occurrence of some scenarios, the risk reduction of the optimization is insufficient, but once the scenario occurs, the consequences are extremely serious, and the risk cannot be ignored.

Method used

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  • Optimization method for site selection of gas detection and alarm equipment in refinery unit considering conditional risk value
  • Optimization method for site selection of gas detection and alarm equipment in refinery unit considering conditional risk value
  • Optimization method for site selection of gas detection and alarm equipment in refinery unit considering conditional risk value

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Embodiment Construction

[0067] The present invention will be further described below in combination with embodiments.

[0068] Specific steps are as follows:

[0069] (1) Taking the leakage source working conditions and wind field conditions as random factors, quantitatively construct a set of hazardous gas leakage scenarios for refinery units. Each scenario in the set is denoted by i, i∈[1,I]. Use historical meteorological data to obtain the joint distribution probability of wind speed and wind direction in the wind field, and obtain the probability of equipment leakage, so as to obtain the approximate probability of leakage scenarios;

[0070] (2) This patent uses the method of CFD three-dimensional numerical simulation to obtain the real-time concentration data of gas diffusion that conforms to the layout of the on-site device. However, modeling all leakage scenarios in detail would be computationally expensive. Taking the research device as an example, using a high-performance computer (CPU: Co...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a site selection optimization method for a gas detection and alarm instrument of an oil refinery considering conditional risk values, and realizes real-time quantitative characterization of the risk of an oil refinery based on the risk triplet theory and a leakage scene set, and uses this as a risk quantification index for layout decision-making. Then take the minimization of the decision-making risk of the layout as the optimization goal, take the risk value of the optimal condition and the number of detection alarm devices as the constraint conditions, and take the selection of alternative points for the alarm device layout as the binary decision variable to define the objective function and constraints of the optimization model function, a P-median model for decision risk minimization considering reliability, voting logic, and conditional value-at-risk was established. The beneficial effects of the present invention are as follows: when optimizing the scheme, the unavailability and failure of the detection and alarm instrument are fully considered, and the successful detection probability of the detection and alarm instrument is taken into consideration, so that the optimization result is more accurate.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to a site selection optimization method for a gas detection and alarm instrument of an oil refinery considering a conditional risk value. Background technique [0002] At present, in the field of petroleum refining and chemical industry, relevant technical standards (such as SH3063-1999 "Code for Design of Detection and Alarm of Combustible Gas and Toxic Gas in Petrochemical Enterprises", GB50493-2009 "Design Specification for Detection and Alarm of Combustible Gas and Toxic Gas in Petrochemical Industry", SY6503-2000 "Code for Combustible Gas Detection and Alarm Use" and SY-6503-2008 "Safety Technical Specifications for Combustible Gas Detection and Alarm Systems in Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering", etc.) as the main basis for the layout of traditional gas detection and alarm devices, only combustible gas and toxic gas detectors Provisions have been made on the principle of setting the detector, the distance between the det...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Patents(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06F17/50
CPCG06F30/20
Inventor 章博王志刚贾艳赵日彬杨敬
Owner CHINA UNIV OF PETROLEUM (EAST CHINA)
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