Mechanical equipment residual service life prediction method and system

A technology for life prediction and mechanical equipment, applied in neural learning methods, computer-aided design, design optimization/simulation, etc., can solve problems that restrict wide application, difficulty in obtaining physical degradation models, and difficulty in migration

Pending Publication Date: 2020-06-12
SHANDONG UNIV
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  • Application Information

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Problems solved by technology

However, the disadvantage of this method is that theoretical analysis is very difficult, and it is difficult to obtain an accurate physical degradation model in actual situations. Generally, there is a certain deviation between the built model and the real failure mechanism, so the research on the RUL prediction method based on the physical model is relatively difficult. Coupled with the problem of difficult migration, it restricts the wide application of this technology

Method used

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  • Mechanical equipment residual service life prediction method and system
  • Mechanical equipment residual service life prediction method and system
  • Mechanical equipment residual service life prediction method and system

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Experimental program
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Effect test

Embodiment 1

[0039] When performing maintenance work on mechanical equipment, if the remaining service life of the equipment can be accurately predicted, the life warning value of the equipment can be known in advance, and the operator will stop the equipment for inspection based on the warning value, and eliminate potential failure factors of the equipment. Operations such as equipment maintenance, replacement of parts, replacement of spare equipment, etc., avoid equipment failure during operation, and predict and "cure the disease" before the "disease" of the equipment. In this way, accidents caused by equipment failure can be avoided, economic losses can be reduced, and personnel safety can be protected; maintenance plans can be formulated in advance according to the life prediction results, and spare parts or spare equipment can be purchased in advance to reduce downtime, improve maintenance efficiency, and reduce transportation costs. maintenance cost; according to the forecast results...

Embodiment 2

[0074] Such as Figure 9 As shown, this embodiment provides a system for predicting the remaining service life of mechanical equipment, including: a historical database, a life prediction model and a full life cycle database;

[0075] The historical database is to store all the state monitoring data accumulated by the equipment of the same model and under the same working conditions, and use it as training data to train the life prediction model;

[0076]The life prediction model includes constructing a deep neural network life prediction model, the deep neural network life prediction model uses a time convolution network as a feature extraction algorithm, and a long short-term memory network is constructed as a regression prediction algorithm;

[0077] The life cycle database stores the collected real-time operation data of the tested equipment, and constructs the collected real-time running data of the tested equipment into a life prediction data set with time series charact...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a mechanical equipment residual service life prediction method and system. The method comprises the steps that a time convolution network serves as a feature extraction algorithm, a long-term and short-term memory network serves as a regression prediction algorithm, a deep neural network life prediction model is constructed, and the deep neural network life prediction modelis trained; according to the model of the tested equipment and the data acquisition time sequence, constructing the acquired real-time operation data of the tested equipment into a service life prediction data set with time sequence characteristics; and carrying out prediction processing on the life prediction data set by using the deep neural network life prediction model to obtain the residualservice life of the tested equipment. A state monitoring signal output by a sensor for monitoring mechanical equipment has the characteristics of a time sequence; a time convolution network and a longshort-term memory network are combined, a deep neural network life prediction model is established for RUL prediction of mechanical equipment, the problems of over-fitting and gradient disappearanceexisting in a common deep neural network model are solved, and the prediction accuracy is improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The present disclosure relates to the technical field of mechanical equipment maintenance prediction, and in particular, to a method and system for predicting the remaining service life of mechanical equipment. Background technique [0002] The statements in this section merely provide background information related to the present disclosure and do not necessarily constitute prior art. [0003] With the development of modern science and technology, computer technology is widely used, and the functions of various systems are becoming more and more perfect. People put forward higher requirements for the reliability of the system under long-term and high load. , aircraft, etc., it is more necessary to carry out intelligent maintenance of its key components, and perform life prediction tasks in real time. The remaining useful life (Remaining Useful Life, RUL) of mechanical equipment generally refers to the time difference between the current running time ...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06F30/27G06N3/04G06N3/08G06F119/04
CPCG06N3/08G06N3/045
Inventor 李沂滨高辉胡晓平王代超宋艳张天泽郭庆稳
Owner SHANDONG UNIV
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