Flexible interconnection device optimization preparation method and system based on DG power prediction
A technology of power prediction and preparation method, which is applied in the direction of power generation prediction, reactive power adjustment/elimination/compensation in circuit devices and AC networks, and can solve the problems of restricting the flexibility of voltage distribution network operation control, limited regulation means, Unbalanced feeder load and other problems, to achieve the effect of improving local consumption capacity, improving power supply reliability, and improving use efficiency
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Embodiment 1
[0036] refer to Figures 1 to 2 , which is the first embodiment of the present invention, which provides a method for optimizing the configuration of flexible interconnection devices based on DG power prediction, where DG is a distributed power source, and the method includes:
[0037]S1. Use the distributed power forecasting module and the capacity of the existing distributed power in the region to predict the estimated power generation within a certain period of time.
[0038] S1 includes:
[0039] Collect weather forecast data, real-time power data and real-time weather data;
[0040] Predict the estimated power generation within a certain period of time according to the collected data; use the combination of indirect prediction method and direct prediction method or the combination of physical method and statistical method to predict photovoltaic power generation. The gray neural network combination model used combines the indirect prediction method with the direct predi...
Embodiment 2
[0047] refer to Figures 1 to 6 , is the second embodiment of the present invention, and this embodiment resides in the previous embodiment
[0048] The flexible interconnection device adopts a modular multi-level control method, and performs system modulation through a modulation method in which modulation waves are reversely stacked. The flexible interconnection device is used to connect two alternating currents, convert the alternating currents at both ends into direct currents, and communicate the direct currents at both ends. Energy distribution is realized through flexible interconnection devices (between distribution networks). Distributed energy forecasting is used to estimate power generation in advance, and combined with actual consumption on the grid, it is used to predict in advance which distribution network the flexible interconnection device needs. How much power the grid transmits. MMC is a modular multi-level converter. Direct power control is used for MMC. ...
Embodiment 3
[0065] refer to Figure 9 , which is the first embodiment of the present invention, this embodiment provides a DG power prediction based flexible interconnect device optimization preparation system, including the first layer control unit 100, the second layer control unit 200 and the third layer control unit 300 . The direct power control strategy of the present invention is the key to realizing the steady-state operation of multiple flexible interconnection devices, and the control system is divided into three levels of control according to the control object and the system response time.
[0066] The first layer control unit 100 is used to realize the energy management of the global system, including the prediction of electricity consumption and power generation, and to realize the optimal configuration of the capacity of the flexible interconnection device in combination with the system loss, the network parameters of the system itself, and the total purchase cost of the syst...
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