This invention relates to the field of disaster prevention and mitigation technology for
marine engineering structures, and discloses a method for plotting
vulnerability curves of guide
seawall structures based on random load combinations. The method includes: constructing a
nonlinear finite element model of a deep-water guide
seawall; introducing a two-dimensional
phase coupling vector to generate random dynamic load samples containing temporal
coupling characteristics of earthquakes and
waves; inputting the samples into the model, tracking the structural
frequency drift in real time and considering pore flow abrupt change damping, and calculating the multidimensional dynamic response of the structure; constructing a multidimensional dynamic limit state surface that shrinks with cumulative plastic damage, and determining the failure state based on the relative relationship between the dynamic response and the state surface; estimating the
failure probability using extreme value statistics theory, and establishing a probabilistic demand model containing cross-
coupling terms of earthquake and wave intensity; and plotting a
vulnerability surface describing the change of the
failure probability with bivariate strength indices based on this model. This invention can accurately assess the
dynamic reliability of deep-water guide seawalls under the
coupling effects of multiple disasters.