The invention discloses an
earthquake risk analysis method based on a regional fine
geological structure. The method comprises the following steps: constructing a fine three-dimensional geoscience model; optimizing boundary conditions based on GNSS velocity
field data; finite element numerical
simulation; and
earthquake risk analysis. According to the method, a fine three-dimensional geoscience model is constructed, a finite element numerical
simulation method is utilized, historical seismic data and geologic structure characteristics are combined, non-uniform
strain energy distribution caused by plate movement in a certain time is calculated, and depth and magnitude weighting
processing is performed on magnitude risk values obtained through
simulation, so that the magnitude risk values are obtained. And the actual condition of the earthquake damage effect is reflected. And finally, performing summation operation on the weighted
strain energy data of the earthquakes with different depths and different earthquake magnitudes in the research area to obtain the overall
earthquake risk distribution condition of the
earth surface area. The method can break through the limitation of the existing seismological
observation data, the seismic activity can be viewed from a wider
view angle and time scale, and the periodicity, frequency and potential disaster risk of the earthquake can be deeply understood.