The application discloses an industry
electricity consumption prediction method,
system and equipment based on an industry chain association, relates to the technical field of power
system load prediction, and comprises the following steps: obtaining
electricity consumption sequences of upstream and downstream industries, and respectively constructing upstream and downstream
phase space trajectories through
delay embedding; a differential homeomorphism mapping relationship between the upstream and downstream
phase space trajectories is established, a joint
phase space is constructed according to the mapping relationship; sustained
homology analysis is performed on the joint phase space, a filter parameter value at which a homology feature suddenly changes is identified as a time-varying division point; the joint phase space is divided into multiple sub-regions according to the time-varying division point, an optimal transmission distance is calculated in each sub-region, and a dynamic
time lag parameter function is obtained; the dynamic
time lag parameter function is embedded into a
time series neural network, network weights are jointly optimized, and a downstream industry
electricity consumption prediction value is output. The application can capture continuous evolution and structural
mutation of
time lag, and effectively improves the prediction accuracy of industry electricity consumption under industry chain fluctuation.