The invention discloses a multi-drive process multi-factor agricultural non-
point source pollution prediction method based on
coupling meteorological numerical forecasting. The method comprises the following steps: firstly, introducing
numerical weather forecast data, and constructing a high-precision weather driving field with kilometer-level space and hour-level
time resolution by combining WRF dynamic
downscaling, DEM
terrain correction and conservation
resampling; secondly, establishing a multi-drive process
coupling model system which comprises a meteorological drive layer, a hydrological response layer, a
pollutant migration layer and a
crop feedback layer and is used for simulating runoff production,
sediment erosion,
nitrogen and
phosphorus migration and transformation and
crop transpiration and root
nutrient absorption processes; thirdly, performing precision
verification on a
simulation result by using
observation data, and identifying key meteorological and hydrological factors through an error
transfer matrix and a
sensitivity analysis method; and finally, realizing parameter adaptive correction by adopting a long short-
term memory network, finishing parameter optimization in combination with a multi-target
genetic algorithm, packaging the model chain through a
containerization technology, and realizing cross-platform deployment and visual output of a
pollution load result. The method can be used for agricultural non-
point source pollution prediction and management.