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259 results about "Sensitive analysis" patented technology

Sensitivity analysis is also referred to as "what-if" or simulation analysis and is a way to predict the outcome of a decision given a certain range of variables. By creating a given set of variables, an analyst can determine how changes in one variable affect the outcome.

Productivity prediction model and productivity sensitivity analysis method for multi-section fractured horizontal well in low-permeability tight gas reservoir

The invention belongs to the field of tight sandstone gas reservoir development, and discloses a productivity prediction model and productivity sensitivity analysis method for a multi-section fractured horizontal well in a low-permeability tight gas reservoir. The model and method are characterized in that after a variety of factors, such as high-speed non-darcy effect, stress sensitivity, slippage effect, stratum pressure drop, in-fracture linear flow and in-fracture radial flow and shaft pressure drop are comprehensively considered, a steady-state seepage low model of the fractured horizontal well is provided; the influence of the various factors on a productivity calculation result is quantitatively analyzed; through example verification, for the multi-section fractured horizontal wellin the tight gas reservoir, the model can accurately predict the productivity; and a productivity sensitivity analysis result shows that the influences of horizontal well length, fracture half length,fracture number and fracture flow conductivity on the productivity have obvious limits, and a reasonable value should be selected from the perspective of economic development. The model and method have extremely high theoretical and application values for productivity prediction and productivity sensitivity analysis for the multi-section fractured horizontal well in the low-permeability tight gasreservoir.
Owner:SOUTHWEST PETROLEUM UNIV

External temperature control type intelligent gas-sensitive analysis device

The invention belongs to the gas-sensitive analysis system field and relates to an external temperature control type intelligent gas-sensitive analysis device. The device is characterized in that the device can realize direct analysis on the gas-sensitive properties of materials and realize independence of material gas-sensitive property research from sensor devices. The external temperature control type intelligent gas-sensitive analysis device provided by the invention comprises a test platform (1), a gas chamber (2), a control system (3), a cooling water circulation box (4), a vacuum pump (5), a dynamic gas distribution system (6) and test software (7); the test platform (1) is internally provided with a temperature control device (11), a probe adjusting device (12), a liquid evaporator (13), a fan (14), a lighting unit (15), a vacuum gauge (16), a vacuumizing channel (17), a gas path (18) and a temperature and humidity sensor (19); the temperature control device (11) comprises a sample test bench (111), a built-in heater(112), a temperature sensor (113) and a water cooling protection system (114) wrapping around the heater (112); the temperature control device (11) can directly carry out external temperature control on a test sample; the probe adjusting device (12) comprises an adjusting bracket (121) and an elastic probe (122); and a contact point of the elastic probe (122) and the test sample can be adjusted through the adjusting bracket (121).
Owner:北京艾立特科技有限公司

Nondestructive testing method for adhesion of thin film based on cohesion model

InactiveCN105651689AThe determination process is clearEnsuring a Reliability MarginUsing mechanical meansMaterial analysisAdhesion forceRelative displacement
The invention relates to a nondestructive testing method for the adhesion of a thin film based on a cohesion model. The nondestructive testing method comprises the following steps: representing the adhesion between the thin film and a substrate by using a relation of an adhesion force between interfaces and an interface relative displacement; establishing a potential function of an index type cohesion model to represent an adhering condition between the thin film and the substrate; utilizing the index type cohesion model as a constitutive model of a thin film substrate interface unit in a thin film substrate structure and establishing a finite element model considering the interface adhesion, wherein the model includes two parts including the thin film and the substrate, and a cohesion unit is added between the thin film and the substrate; carrying out interface adhesion sensitive analysis on composite parameters to determine key parameters; calculating a theoretical frequency dispersion curve of transmitting ultrasonic surface waves in a layered structure when the adhesion between the thin film and the substrate is considered; acquiring an experiment frequency dispersion curve of the surface waves; obtaining a measured value of the adhesion of the thin film. The nondestructive testing method provided by the invention can realize quantitative characterization of the adhesion of the thin film.
Owner:TIANJIN UNIV

Shield proximity existing tunnel safety evaluation method based on data mining and data fusion

ActiveCN111985804AAccurate and reasonable safety risk comprehensive evaluationEfficient expressionResourcesSensitive analysisIndex system
The invention belongs to the field of shield underneath pass existing tunnel safety risk evaluation, and particularly discloses a shield proximity existing tunnel safety evaluation method based on data mining and data fusion. The method comprises the following steps: establishing a shield underneath pass existing tunnel safety evaluation index system and a risk grading standard; designing a Bayesian network by adopting a fault tree analysis method; obtaining an expert evaluation interval fuzzy set of a root node in the Bayesian network based on a group decision judged by an expert, and fusingthe expert evaluation interval fuzzy set by adopting an improved evidence theory to obtain fuzzy prior probability distribution of the root node of the Bayesian network; and based on the constructed Bayesian network model, carrying out risk probability reasoning and sensitivity analysis of shield underneath passing through the existing tunnel, and determining the safety risk level and key controlfactors of shield underneath passing through the existing tunnel. According to the method, more accurate and reasonable comprehensive evaluation of the safety risk of shield underneath passing throughthe existing tunnel is realized, and a powerful basis is provided for safety risk early warning and control decision of engineering.
Owner:HUAZHONG UNIV OF SCI & TECH

Pollution risk grading method and apparatus for landfill site

InactiveCN105550817AStrong independenceMany risk rating indicatorsResourcesSensitive analysisDecision taking
An embodiment of the invention provides a pollution risk grading method for a landfill site. The pollution risk grading method for the landfill site comprises the steps of obtaining basic data of multiple pollution risk grading indexes of the landfill site and calculating the correlation among the risk grading indexes according to the basic data of the risk grading indexes and a risk grading index evaluation system to ensure the independence of the indexes; determining weight values of the risk grading indexes and performing sensitive analysis on the weight values of the risk grading indexes to ensure that the weight values of the risk grading indexes are accurate; and inputting the weight values of the risk grading indexes into a multi-criteria decision analysis model to calculate a risk value of landfill site pollution so as to perform risk grading scoring of landfill site pollution. Correspondingly, an embodiment of the invention furthermore provides a pollution risk grading apparatus for the landfill site. According to the technical scheme provided by the embodiments of the invention, the groundwater pollution risk of a hazardous waste landfill site can be subjected to grading evaluation quickly and accurately, so that a risk grading result is more scientific.
Owner:CHINESE RES ACAD OF ENVIRONMENTAL SCI

Local well pattern water injection development optimization method based on graph neural network

ActiveCN112360411AQuickly predict the effect of water injection developmentFluid removalNeural learning methodsSensitive analysisEngineering
The invention discloses a local well pattern water injection development optimization method based on a graph neural network. The method specifically comprises the steps as follows: (1) obtaining geometrical information of a local target well pattern, and constructing a graph neural network structure of an injection-production well pattern according to the topological structure characteristics ofa water injection well and an oil production well; (2) acquiring historical production data of a target well pattern; (3) training the graph neural network structure in the step (1) by utilizing the historical production data in the step (2), and establishing a graph neural network model; and (4) performing sensitivity analysis on the parameters of the injection-production well pattern by utilizing the graph neural network model to obtain sensitivity factors in the injection-production well pattern. According to the method, the basis for adjusting the water injection amount is provided for water injection development, the oil production amount is predicted, meanwhile, the importance of different wells and different static parameters in each well pattern is given, and main influence wells and secondary influence well points are distinguished when the water injection amount is adjusted.
Owner:HOHAI UNIV

Analysis method for influence factors of carbon dioxide concentration prediction at any time-space position

ActiveCN113919448AAccurate and fast regional carbon dioxide concentration distribution predictionEnsemble learningCharacter and pattern recognitionWeather factorSensitive analysis
The invention provides an analysis method for influence factors of carbon dioxide concentration prediction at any time-space position. The method comprises the following steps of: on the basis of sparse and non-uniform satellite carbon dioxide column concentration observation data, corresponding environmental factors including a ground cover factor, a climate and weather factor and a combustion emission factor, and an XGBoost algorithm, constructing a model for simulating spatial and temporal distribution of carbon dioxide in a region, and extracting carbon dioxide temporal and spatial distribution trend variables; and realizing quantitative evaluation of environmental factor sensitivity by utilizing the constructed regional carbon dioxide spatial and temporal distribution model and a global sensitivity analysis algorithm, and quantitatively determining influence degrees and magnitudes of various environmental factors influencing regional carbon dioxide spatial and temporal distribution according to a sensitivity analysis result. Compared with a traditional method, the method can simulate regional carbon dioxide concentration distribution with high precision, and achieve quantitative evaluation of the importance degrees of the environmental variables.
Owner:WUHAN UNIV

Hierarchical modular power network planning scheme optimization method

ActiveCN103793757AEconomic comparisonReliability comparisonForecastingInformation technology support systemLoad forecastingLoad ratio
The invention provides a hierarchical modular power network planning scheme optimization method. The method includes the steps that (1) a county-level planning unit serves as a minimum unit of a calculation system of the method, and the calculation problem of the capacity-load ratio of an interconnected area is solved by means of division coefficients; (2) a calculation system is built on the basis of the method, and imbalance degrees, such as the largest load imbalance degree, the coincidence factor imbalance degree and the capacity-load ratio imbalance degree, of indexes in a target area are obtained quantitatively; (3) sensitivity of the capacity-load ratio to an item is analyzed, the concept of a sensitivity coefficient is put forward and accordingly influences of operation of the item on the capacity-load ratio of the area are weighed; (4) a load prediction method in a new planning period is put forward, according to the method, a hierarchical modular analysis concept is adopted, firstly, the whole load prediction work is divided into different levels of load prediction according to a certain rule, the natural growth rate of the load of each level is solved level by level, and ultimately the largest load of each level of a power grid at the end of the planning period is solved from bottom to top.
Owner:STATE GRID CORP OF CHINA +1

Active power distribution network information physical system reliability evaluation method considering information failure

ActiveCN111697566ARefined ModelingComprehensive and Accurate Reliability Assessment MethodSingle network parallel feeding arrangementsAc network load balancingSensitive analysisPhysical system
An active power distribution network information physical system reliability evaluation method considering information failure comprises the steps: constructing a typical framework of an active powerdistribution network information physical system CPS, wherein a physical system comprises primary equipment and a distributed energy source DG, and an information system is divided into an applicationlayer, a communication layer and an interface layer; establishing a DG and load model, an information physical element model and an information transmission reliability model; in combination with theindirect effect of information failure on the power distribution self-healing process, quantitatively analyzing the influence of failure of an information system application layer, a communication layer and an interface layer on fault isolation, positioning and power supply recovery in an uncertain environment; employing a sequential Monte Carlo method and a non-sequential Monte Carlo method to sample a physical element and an information element respectively; by means of example simulation, carrying out the sensitivity analysis from the aspects of distributed power supply capacity, island operation mode, information element and information transmission abnormity and access network structure, wherein the accuracy and effectiveness of the method are verified through the obtained result, and suggestions and guidance are provided for construction of the active power distribution network.
Owner:ZHEJIANG UNIV OF TECH

Method and equipment for detecting oil and gas reservoir by compact oil and gas reservoir fluid factor

The embodiment of the invention provides a method and equipment for detecting an oil and gas reservoir by a compact oil and gas reservoir fluid factor. The method comprises the following steps: constructing a matrix modulus prediction model of compact sandstone according to an actual core sample of the compact reservoir and test data; constructing a rock physical model under a dry condition of thecompact reservoir by adopting a cemented sandstone theory according to an actually measured core porosity and an acoustic velocity; carrying out fluid replacement analysis and lame modulus related parameter conversion by adopting a Gassmann equation and combining a prediction result of the dry compact sandstone rock physical model, and carrying out fluid sensitivity analysis on lame modulus related parameters; determining an equivalent fluid factor according to attribute parameters of fluid replacement calculation in combination with actual drilling and logging data; acquiring an elastic parameter of a target layer by adopting a seismic inversion method, and calculating a seismic fluid factor data volume in combination with logging information; and carrying out seismic fluid detection analysis according to the newly constructed seismic fluid factor, and predicting distribution of the seismic oil and gas reservoir.
Owner:CHINA UNIV OF PETROLEUM (BEIJING) +1

Parameter uncertainty analysis method and system of nuclear power reactor system

The invention provides a parameter uncertainty analysis method and system for a nuclear power reactor system, and the method comprises the steps: building a system evaluation model according to a system design value through employing an optimal estimation program, and carrying out the steady-state debugging of the system evaluation model; carrying out sensitivity analysis on the input parameter / physical model by utilizing a system evaluation model to obtain a key input parameter / key physical model, and obtaining a target change range of the key input parameter / key physical model according to characteristics of the key input parameter / key physical model; constructing a target parameter sample point set according to a target change range of the key input parameter / key physical model, and performing uncertainty analysis on the target parameter sample point set by using a system evaluation model to obtain an uncertainty quantification result of the key input parameter / key physical model, according to the method, the excessive conservative allowance of the nuclear power reactor system is effectively released, and the economical efficiency of the nuclear power reactor system is improved to the maximum extent.
Owner:中国人民解放军92578部队

Rock-fill dam material compaction quality detection method based on soil body rigidity

The invention discloses a rock-fill dam material compaction quality detection method based on soil rigidity, which comprises the following steps: in combination with the rolling characteristics of a rock-fill dam material, establishing a rolling machine-soil body vibration system three-degree-of-freedom kinetic analysis model capable of being applied to the rock-fill dam material, and obtaining the relationship between soil body parameters and the acceleration of the vibration system; obtaining the absolute value of the measured acceleration signal data of the vibration wheel, performing peak value selection and moving average, and obtaining the average amplitude a2m of the acceleration signal of the vibration wheel; by means of parameter sensitivity analysis, assuming that the soil body damping cs is always a damping value in an initial rolling state, and rapidly calculating the soil body rigidity to reflect the compaction quality of the rock-fill dam material in the vibration compaction process according to the obtained acceleration average amplitude a2m and the relation between the soil body parameters and the acceleration. The method disclosed by the invention can be applied to compaction quality field control and detection of fine materials such as clay core walls and the like, and also has a relatively good detection effect on coarse-grained materials such as rockfill materials and sand gravel materials.
Owner:中节能建设工程设计院有限公司 +2

Aircraft fire control system precision sensitivity analysis method based on neural network

The invention discloses an aircraft fire control system precision sensitivity analysis method based on a neural network. The method comprises the steps: introducing a local sensitivity algorithm and a global sensitivity algorithm into the index sensitivity analysis of an aircraft fire control system, and comprehensively employing an entropy method and a Sobol method according to the organic combination of different precision indexes, thereby achieving the precision sensitivity analysis of the aircraft fire control system. The analysis precision of the sensitivity coefficient of the precision index of the aircraft fire control system is improved. According to the method, the BP neural network is added in the aircraft fire control system and is trained, the precision index of the aircraft fire control system and the final killing probability are fitted, and required sample data are expanded quickly and effectively. Through a precision optimization distribution algorithm, optimization distribution of precision indexes of the aircraft fire control system is realized. According to the method, the problem of analysis and evaluation of multi-precision indexes in the aircraft fire control system under the condition of insufficient data samples can be well solved, experimental data can be quickly expanded based on learning and analysis of the neural network, and it is guaranteed that the aircraft fire control system reaches the specified killing rate.
Owner:NORTHWESTERN POLYTECHNICAL UNIV
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